341
FNUS74 KMOB 241127
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Desoto Block 8531 South...USFS
National Weather Service Mobile AL
627 AM CDT Fri May 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...HIGH DISPERSION INDEX AROUND 77 EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON OVER THE
BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions are expected today with scattered
showers and storms over a portion of the area following for
Saturday. Afternoon relative humidity values remain above
critical levels today and Saturday. Transport winds will be
mostly southwesterly to southerly today and southwesterly to
westerly on Saturday. Dispersion index values will be generally
good to good today and fair to good on Saturday.

Fog potential and other remarks...Fog is not expected.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 91.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...1067-1920 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....44 increasing to 77.
LVORI...............2.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........59     44     34     28
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      10
LAL.............1      1      1      1
Temp............82     87     90     90
RH..............74     59     50     50
20 FT wind dir..SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW
20 FT wind spd..6      7      9      9
20 FT wind gust.9      12     14     15
Mix hgt (ft)....3500   5200   6100   5800
Mix hgt (m).....1070   1580   1860   1770
Transp wind dir.SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW
Transp wind spd.10     12     12     14
Trans wind dir..SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW
Trans spd (m/s).4      5      5      6
Dispersion idx..44     65     77     76
LVORI...........3      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1768 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 14 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....76 decreasing to 6.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........21     18     19     30     41     54
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............88     80     75     74     73     72
RH..............57     79     94     97     100    100
20 FT wind dir..S      S      S      S      SSW    SW
20 FT wind spd..8      7      6      5      5      3
20 FT wind gust.12     10     9      8      7      6
Mix hgt (ft)....5800   500    500    500    400    400
Mix hgt (m).....1770   150    150    150    120    120
Transp wind dir.S      S      S      SSW    SW     SW
Transp wind spd.14     13     12     12     10     8
Trans wind dir..S      S      S      SSW    SW     SW
Trans spd (m/s).6      6      5      5      4      4
Dispersion idx..76     6      5      6      6      5
LVORI...........1      4      6      8      8      9

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 94.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-1585 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 8 to 12 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest 4 to 5 meters/second.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 64.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........56     56     53     33     22     19
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............72     75     83     89     93     94
RH..............100    94     74     57     47     44
20 FT wind dir..SW     SW     SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW
20 FT wind spd..3      3      5      6      6      7
20 FT wind gust.5      6      8      9      10     12
Mix hgt (ft)....400    1300   2400   4100   5100   5200
Mix hgt (m).....120    400    730    1250   1550   1580
Transp wind dir.WSW    SW     SW     SSW    SSW    SW
Transp wind spd.8      9      10     10     10     12
Trans wind dir..WSW    SW     SW     SSW    SSW    SW
Trans spd (m/s).4      4      4      4      4      5
Dispersion idx..4      17     32     49     60     67
LVORI...........9      5      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...13
Requested by...Cliff Willis
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415033.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL clifton.willis@usda.gov