Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 311052
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for EP BU2...Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation
National Weather Service Mobile AL
552 AM CDT Fri May 31 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on May 31.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Mostly dry conditions are expected today. However, a
very isolated shower or storm cannot be completed ruled out this
afternoon, but rain chances are well below 20 percent. Otherwise
good dispersions are forecast for this afternoon as temperatures
warm into the upper 80s and east to southeast transport winds
increase.

Fog potential and other remarks..Fog is not expected.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 87.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 12 to 13 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1524 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East to Southeast 9 to 17 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 4 to 8 meters/second.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 59.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........10  9   11  13  15  17  20  22  29  36  43  39
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............73  74  77  80  83  85  86  86  86  86  85  84
RH..............73  71  64  60  55  51  50  51  53  57  63  67
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE
20 FT wind spd..6   7   8   9   10  12  14  15  15  15  15  14
20 FT wind gust.8   9   10  13  14  16  17  20  20  20  20  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.3 2.2 3.7 4.4 4.9 5.0 4.8 4.1 3.5 3.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   13  16  17  17  16  15  15  15  16  16  16
Trans wind dir..E   E   E   E   ESE ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).4   6   7   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
Dispersion idx..8   18  28  40  55  59  59  54  53  54  52  52
LVORI...........4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms overnight. Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 3 am.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0100, then 2 until 0400, then 3.
Min temperature.....Around 75.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...152-1067 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 9 to 16 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 4 to 7 meters/second.
Dispersion index....52 decreasing to 12.
LVORI...............4.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........36  32  29  26  23  25  27  28  42  55  69  66
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  0   0   0   20  20  20  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   3   3
Temp............83  82  81  81  80  79  79  78  78  78  78  78
RH..............72  77  79  79  82  85  85  88  88  85  85  82
20 FT wind dir..SSE SSE SSE SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..13  12  10  9   8   7   7   7   7   8   9   10
20 FT wind gust.16  15  14  12  10  9   9   8   9   12  13  14
Mix hgt (kft)...3.5 2.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9
Mix hgt (km)....1.1 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3
Transp wind dir.SSE SSE SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SE
Transp wind spd.16  16  14  13  13  13  10  12  9   12  13  13
Trans wind dir..SSE SSE SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SE
Trans spd (m/s).7   7   6   6   6   6   4   5   4   5   6   6
Dispersion idx..52  14  12  10  10  9   8   8   10  12  15  16
LVORI...........2   3   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   4   4

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning,
                    then showers and thunderstorms likely.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................3 until 0700, then 4.
Max temperature.....Around 82.
Min humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......3300 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...244-1006 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 14 to 22 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 6 to 10 meters/second.
Dispersion index....16 increasing to 26 early in the morning, then
                    increasing to 44 early in the morning
                    increasing to 52 late in the morning decreasing
                    to 39.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........64  61  65  69  73  73  74  74  74  75  75  78
Weather cov.....CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Chc of pcpn (%).30  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70
LAL.............3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
Temp............78  78  78  79  79  79  79  79  79  78  78  78
RH..............82  82  85  85  88  88  85  82  82  85  85  85
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE
20 FT wind spd..10  12  13  14  15  16  17  17  17  16  16  16
20 FT wind gust.15  16  17  17  18  20  21  22  22  21  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 1.2 2.4 2.6 3.1 3.3 3.1 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.5
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE S   S   S   SSE SSE SSE
Transp wind spd.14  15  20  22  22  21  18  16  16  17  17  17
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SSE SSE SSE S   S   S   SSE SSE SSE
Trans spd (m/s).6   7   9   10  10  9   8   7   7   8   8   8
Dispersion idx..16  26  40  48  54  49  43  39  37  36  35  35
LVORI...........4   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...34
Requested by...Robert Neighbors
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415397.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/31/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL robert.neighbors@myfwc.com