302
FNUS73 KMPX 291204
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Regal Meadow Rx...The Nature Conservancy
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
704 AM CDT Wed May 29 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on May 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Full sunshine today with RH values approach 30% this afternoon.
Winds will be calm through mid-morning, becoming easterly around 5
mph after 10 AM. A gradually shift to southeasterly winds is
expected through the afternoon with speeds between 5-10 mph.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........54 at ignition...Max 70.
RH..................74 percent at ignition...Min 42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 2 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 9 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /3800 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /62000 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 6 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 3.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............54  57  61  63  65  66  68  69  70  70  70  69
RH..............74  69  62  58  52  48  45  44  42  42  42  44
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..2   3   5   6   6   7   8   8   9   9   10  9
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   9   10  13  13  13  14  15  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.4 2.6 4.0 4.4 4.9 5.3 5.7 6.2 6.2 6.2 4.8
Transp wind dir.E   SE  SE  SE  SE  E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   6   6   6   8   9   10  12  12  14  15
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........Min 52.
RH..................Max 83 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (74300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (5400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the afternoon.
Temperature.........Max 74.
RH..................Min 48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (100400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 16 to 25 mph increasing to 24 to 29 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Ahasic
Requested by...Matt Graeve
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415274.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL mgraeve@tnc.org