Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Versions:
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487
FNUS73 KMQT 291259
FWSMQT
Spot Forecast for Volker Plains Opening RX...MI-DNR
National Weather Service Marquette MI
859 AM EDT Wed May 29 2024
Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 EDT on May 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
.DISCUSSION...High pressure is going to dominate the forecast
through Thursday resulting in clear skies and dry conditions. The
cooler airmass overhead today should keep today a bit colder than
Thursday with a high of 61. Efficient mixing in the afternoon will
bring RHs into the upper 20s, but north becoming northeast winds
should remain light with gusts below 15 mph. RH is progged to recover
into the mid 80s overnight with a cooler than normal low of 34. With
the cool and dry conditions tonight, some frost is expected late
tonight into Thursday morning. Thursday brings similar dry conditions
with min RHs in the mid 20s, but warmer temps in the upper 60s are
forecast. West becoming south winds will still be light on Thursday
with gusts staying below 15 mph.
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........60 at ignition...Max 61.
RH..................29 percent at ignition...Min 27 percent.
Dewpoint............27.
33-foot winds.......Winds north at 8 mph at ignition...otherwise
Northeast winds 8 to 9 mph.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4400-4600
ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Good (463) at ignition. Max...good (463.0).
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......25.
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........2 1 1 1 1
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1
Temp............60 61 60 60 59
Dewpoint........28 26 27 27 28
RH..............29 27 28 28 30
33 ft wind dir..N N NE NE NE
33 ft wind spd..8 8 9 9 9
20 ft wind dir..N N NE NE NE
20 ft wind spd..6 6 7 7 7
Wind gust.......11 11 11 11 11
Mix hgt (kft)...4.6 4.4 4.6 4.6 4.4
Haines index....5 5 5 5 5
VIndx kt-ft/100.46 44 41 42 35
Ceiling (kft)...25 25 25 25 25
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (0-5 percent). Areas of frost overnight.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........Min 34.
RH..................Max 83 percent.
Dewpoint............29.
33-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening
becoming light.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds up to 6 mph in the evening
becoming light.
Mixing height.......2200-3800 ft AGL decreasing to 100-1400 ft AGL
in the late evening and overnight.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (7.0-306.0).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......25.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........1 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Weather cov..... ARS ARS ARS ARS
Weather type.... FST FST FST FST
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............59 57 55 50 45 42 40 39 37 36 35 34
Dewpoint........28 29 29 29 30 30 30 30 31 30 30 29
RH..............31 34 37 44 54 61 66 72 78 80 80 81
33 ft wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N NW NW NW
33 ft wind spd..8 8 8 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 ft wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N NW NW NW
20 ft wind spd..6 6 6 4 4 4 2 2 2 2 2 2
Wind gust.......10 10 10 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
Mix hgt (kft)...3.8 3.0 2.2 1.4 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Haines index....5 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
VIndx kt-ft/100.31 21 15 10 5 2 1 1 2 2 2 2
Ceiling (kft)...25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent). Areas of frost early in
the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Temperature.........Max 70.
RH..................Min 26 percent.
Dewpoint............31.
33-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south up to 6 mph in the
late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......0-1900 ft AGL increasing to 5300-5500 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (3.0-436.0) increasing to good
(527.0) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
plume dominated fire growth.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......25.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
Sky (%).........1 1 1 2 2 2
Weather cov.....AREAS
Weather type....FROST NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
Temp............35 42 55 62 67 69
Dewpoint........30 33 32 32 32 32
RH..............82 70 43 32 27 26
33 ft wind......W 3 W 3 SW 5 S 6 S 6 S 8
20 ft wind......W 2 W 2 SW 4 S 5 S 5 S 6
Wind gust.......4 4 6 10 10 10
Mix hgt (ft)....100 300 1900 3800 5300 5500
Haines index....5 4 5 5 4 4
VIndx kt-ft/100.1 2 9 15 26 44
Ceiling (kft)...25 25 25 25 25 25
$$
Forecaster...Jablonski
Requested by...Peter Glover
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415277.0/MQT
.DELDT 05/29/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL gloverp@michigan.gov