497
FXUS63 KOAX 212301
AFDOAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
601 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Areal flooding will still be possible through early evening.
  River flooding will be possible over the next day or two.

- Additional chance of thunderstorms Thursday with a marginal
  risk of severe storms.

- Spotty storm chances Friday, Sunday, and Monday over the
  Memorial Holiday weekend, but severe storm chances remain low.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 343 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024

The severe storm threat has pushed east of our coverage area,
thus both the tornado and flood watches have been cancelled.
There could be lingering spotty showers in the cyclonic flow
behind the system that could linger until about 6 to 7 pm. A
couple of areal flood warnings remain in effect through 6 pm
for those locations that received 3 to 7 inches of rain earlier
today. And river flood warnings will continue for the next
couple of days.

Wednesday looks like a dry, quiet day thankfully. But there are
storm chances back in the forecast for Thursday, with a marginal
risk of severe storms Thursday night as another strong front
moves into the region, when we will have another marginal risk
of excessive heavy rainfall.

And then we`ll have spotty storm chances in the Memorial Holiday
weekend on Friday, Sunday, and Monday, but nothing looks
particularly severe at this time. High temperatures behind the
front Friday in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Highs Saturday in
the lower 70s, in the mid 70s Sunday, and the lower 70s Monday.
Overall, a very comfortable period with no temperature extremes.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 558 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024

Primary concern with tonight`s TAF issuances is the clearing
out of the MVFR cigs over the next couple of hours. Have pushed
all three TAF sites just into the VFR category as of 00Z though
admittedly it will be close for an hour or so.

Otherwise expect strong northwesterly winds to taper around
sunset and become westerly and then southwesterly over the
course of the next 24 hours.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
IA...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...DeWald
AVIATION...Nicolaisen