137
FXUS64 KOHX 300520
AFDOHX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
1220 AM CDT Thu May 30 2024

...New AVIATION...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 831 PM CDT Wed May 29 2024

We saw more great weather today and that will continue into the
overnight. Drier air is in place and with mainly clear skies
tonight it will be on the chilly side with lows falling into the
low to mid 50s with maybe even some upper 40s on the Plateau. Some
patchy fog will be possible mainly to the east of Nashville. More
great weather tomorrow!

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Wed May 29 2024

Beautiful and quite comfortable day for late May across the
midstate with partly to mostly cloudy skies, current temperatures
in the upper 60s and 70s, and pleasant dewpoints in the 50s. This
nice and quiet weather looks to continue through Friday thanks to
a surface high pressure ridge centered over the Great Lakes and
northwest flow aloft. Tonight will be quiet cool and almost chilly
in some areas as lows drop into the upper 40s on the Plateau and
low to mid 50s elsewhere. With light winds, mostly clear skies,
and low dewpoint depressions expected, some patchy fog is also
likely by sunrise. Thursday and Thursday night look to be a near
carbon-copy of today/tonight with highs in the 70s to low 80s,
lows in the upper 40s and 50s, and pleasant RH. Friday looks to be
a bit warmer as a weak upper ridge builds northward from the Gulf
Coast, with highs reaching the mid 70s to mid 80s.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday Night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1200 PM CDT Wed May 29 2024

Our weather pattern becomes warmer, humid, and more unsettled
from Friday night through the rest of the forecast period as
upper flow becomes more amplified aloft and deeper gulf moisture
returns from the southwest. This should allow for widely
scattered and mainly diurnal showers and a few thunderstorms to
develop each day, a more typical summertime-like pattern, with
slight to chance pops warranted. Not seeing any notable signal
for potential strong or severe storms, but higher PWATs and
stronger wind fields early next week on the 12Z GFS might allow
for some stronger storms if those model trends continue. Rainfall
totals over the next 7 days will vary considerably across the
midstate, but in general a half inch to an inch is anticipated
for most locations. Temperatures will also warm well into the 80s
areawide throughout the extended period, with dewpoints also
increasing into the 60s/70s, making it quite humid outdoors.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1140 PM CDT Wed May 29 2024

Other than a few hours of IFR to MVFR vis for CSV/SRB tonight, VFR
conditions are expected for mid-state terminals this cycle.

Winds will be light (less than 10 kts) and shift from the north to
the northeast by 15Z today.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      56  80  57  85 /   0   0   0   0
Clarksville    53  78  54  81 /   0   0   0   0
Crossville     48  74  50  78 /   0   0   0   0
Columbia       54  80  56  84 /   0   0   0   0
Cookeville     51  75  53  80 /   0   0   0   0
Jamestown      49  74  50  78 /   0   0   0   0
Lawrenceburg   53  79  55  83 /   0   0   0   0
Murfreesboro   52  80  55  85 /   0   0   0   0
Waverly        55  79  57  83 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

UPDATE.......Mueller
SHORT TERM...Shamburger
LONG TERM....Shamburger
AVIATION.....Unger