051
FNUS76 KOTX 191647
FWSOTX

Spot Forecast for San Poil Activity RX...Colville Agency
National Weather Service Spokane WA
947 AM PDT Sun May 19 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 PDT on May 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

A low pressure system over the burn project today will keep the
atmosphere conditionally unstable. Cumulus build ups this afternoon
with scattered showers and embedded thunderstorms after 1200 PDT.
Winds will be northwest to west, but showers and thunderstorms
near the project may result in gusty and erratic winds in the
afternoon. Wetting rains will be spotty with showers today.
Monday and Tuesday will be drier before a wet low pressure system
Tuesday night into Wednesday brings wetting rains. This system
is expected to bring around a half of an inch of rainfall by
Wednesday evening.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny in the morning becoming partly sunny
                    with building cumulus clouds after 1100 PDT.
                    A 25 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    in the after 1200 PDT this afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....60.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North-Northwest winds 3 to 6 mph in the morning
                    becoming west 4 to 8 mph after 1200 PDT. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 7000 ft AGL between 1400 PDT and
                    1900 PDT.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 Very Low.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly
                    clear. Chance of showers and thunderstorms until
                    2000 PDT this evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 41.
Max humidity........69 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 3 to 5 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......5000 ft AGL in the evening falling to near
                    surface after 2100 PDT.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 11 mph in the evening decreasing
                    to around 4 mph after 2100 PDT.
Haines Index........3 Very Low.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Building cumulus clouds in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....67.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North-Northwest winds 3 to 5 mph in the morning
                    becoming west 4 to 8 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 7500 ft AGL in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 8 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........3 Very Low.

$$
Forecaster...SVH
Requested by...Rose Circle
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414582.1/OTX
.DELDT 05/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL rose.circle.mtf@colvilletribes.com