339
FNUS74 KOUN 221701
FWSOUN

Spot Forecast for Chickasaw Tornado Recovery...National Park Service
National Weather Service Norman OK
1201 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 CDT on May 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (405) 325-3816 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
Based on radar, there were damaging winds surging from the rear
flank downdraft of the supercell vs the front inflow where a
tornado could potentially develop. This most likely produced the
damage at The Point. We did have a severe thunderstorms warning at
the time. There is a 40% chance for severe storms to redevelop
later this afternoon.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........69 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Northeast winds 12 to 13 mph.

TIME (CDT)      NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........63     78     67
Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Temp............68     73     73
RH..............93     80     80
Surface wnd dir.NE     NE     NE
Surface wnd spd.13     13     12
Surface wnd gst.17     17     16

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and
                    thunderstorms in the evening, then isolated
                    showers and thunderstorms overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Surface winds (mph).East winds 6 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 8 to 9 mph overnight.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
Sky (%).........78           72           54
Weather cov.....CHANCE       SCTTRD       ISOLTD
Weather type....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE       SCTTRD       ISOLTD
Temp............77           68           67
RH..............71           93           97
Surface wnd dir.NE           NE           SE
Surface wnd spd.10           6            9
Surface wnd gst.15           9            14

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming mostly sunny late in
                    the afternoon. Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms in the morning, then numerous
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Surface winds (mph).South winds 8 to 14 mph.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
Sky (%).........62           56           68
Weather cov.....ISOLTD       ISOLTD       NUMRUS
Weather type....RNSHWR       RNSHWR       RNSHWR
Tstm cov........ISOLTD       ISOLTD       NUMRUS
Temp............65           72           77
RH..............100          95           84
Surface wnd dir.SE           S            S
Surface wnd spd.8            10           13
Surface wnd gst.13           16           20

$$
Forecaster...PIKE
Requested by...David Fox
Type of request...OTHER
.TAG 2414726.2/OUN
.DELDT 05/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dfox@nps.gov