058
FNUS75 KPUB 242158
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for TA27 - Timber Mountain...Fort Carson FD
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
358 PM MDT Fri May 24 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 MDT on May 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

It will be getting windier into Saturday as a system passes to the
north. While weather conditions will meet critical fire weather
thresholds, fuels are not considered critical therefore no fire weather
highlights are in effect.  However conditions will be dry and windy
Saturday afternoon before diminishing as a cool front moves through
Saturday evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny(63 percent).
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....69F.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 11-21 mph.
Mixing height.......10000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 19 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........57  69
Weather cov.....    SCH
Weather type....    RW
Tstm cov........    SCH
LAL.............1   2
Temp............68  69
RH..............19  18
20 FT wind dir..S   S
20 FT wind spd..15  15
20 FT wind gust.23  23
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S
Eye lvl wnd spd.9   9
Eye lvl wnd gst.14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...10  9.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW
Transp wind spd.21  18
Haines index....5   5
SDspl kt-ft/1000184 154

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy until 2300, then partly cloudy(27
                    percent).
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....45F.
Max humidity........41-46 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds around 14 mph until 2100, then
                    East 5-10 mph.
Mixing height.......6500 ft agl until 1900. 500 ft agl after 2000.
Transport winds.....South around 12 mph until 2000. West after
                    0500.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1900, then poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........81  80  79  78  62  45  28  23  17  11  10  9
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........SCH
LAL.............2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  66  62  59  57  54  52  50  48  48  47  46
RH..............19  21  25  31  33  36  39  42  45  46  45  46
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..14  14  14  5   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.21  21  21  7   7   7   9   9   9   8   8   8
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   N   N   N   NW  NW  NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.8   8   8   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.13  13  13  4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...6.5 3.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW  S   SE  SE  E   E   NE  NE  N   N   NW  W
Transp wind spd.14  13  10  8   9   9   7   7   8   7   6   7
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100075  36  5   4   4   5   4   3   4   3   2   3

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny(28 percent).
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....75F.
Min humidity........9-14 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. West winds around 13 mph until 0900,
                    then southwest 22-26 mph with gusts to around
                    40 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft agl until 0900, then 10500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph until 0900, then around 34
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700. Excellent after 1000.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........9   10  12  13  18  23  27  34  40  47  44  42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............47  51  56  64  67  70  72  72  73  74  73  71
RH..............42  38  31  23  20  17  15  15  15  14  15  17
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..13  13  13  23  23  23  26  26  26  25  25  25
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  35  35  35  39  39  39  37  37  37
Eye lvl wnd dir.W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
Eye lvl wnd spd.8   8   8   14  14  14  16  16  16  15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd gst.11  11  11  21  21  21  23  23  23  22  22  22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.5 4.0 6.5 8.5 10  12  14  12  9.5 10
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
Transp wind spd.7   9   13  23  31  35  35  35  35  33  32  36
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10003   4   15  81  174 259 305 339 403 342 260 306

$$
Forecaster...TORGERSON
Requested by...Rebecca Winans
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2414945.2/PUB
.DELDT 05/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0