195
FNUS75 KPUB 301350
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Laughlin Gulch RX...USFS
National Weather Service Pueblo CO
750 AM MDT Thu May 30 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 MDT on May 30.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Modest westerly flow will continue across the Rockies into the early
weekend. Occasional minor disturbances within the flow will keep
the possibility of showers and thunderstorms across the burn site
each day, though thunderstorms will be spotty and precipitation light.
Gusty erratic winds will be the main risk should a thunderstorm pass
over or near the burn site.  Increasing west to southwest flow remains
expected for later in the weekend, with warm and mainly dry conditions
expected into early next week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny until 1200...then partly sunny (52 percent).
                    Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 2 until 1500, then 3 until
                    1700, then 1.
Max temperature.....69F.
Min humidity........13-18 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West to northwest 8-12 mph until 1400, then southwest
                    10-15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms after 1200.
Mixing height.......7000 ft agl until 1100, then 9000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 13 mph until 1600, then southwest
                    around 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 1100, then very good.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........16  27  38  48  57  67  68  69
Weather cov.....        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1   1   2   2   2   3   3   2
Temp............62  65  68  67  68  66  66  64
RH..............23  20  18  19  18  20  21  23
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..6   6   12  12  12  14  14  14
20 FT wind gust.9   9   18  18  18  22  22  22
Mix hgt (kft)...7.0 12  13  13  12  9.5 9.5 7.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  13  13  12  12  14  16  18
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/100071  124 145 132 115 114 128 104

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy(66 percent) until 2100, then
                    mostly clear.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....39F.
Max humidity........52-57 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5-10 mph.
Mixing height.......4500 ft agl until 2000, then 1000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 11 mph until 2200, then around 6
                    mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good until 2000, then poor.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........70  54  38  22  17  12  7   8   10  11  11  12
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............62  60  57  53  50  48  46  44  43  40  40  40
RH..............26  28  31  38  39  41  39  41  43  45  45  44
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..13  13  13  8   8   8   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  13  13  13  9   9   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...4.5 4.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.20  16  10  9   10  10  12  12  10  7   7   6
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100073  54  7   6   6   6   7   7   6   4   4   4

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny until 1300...then partly cloudy (40percent).
                    Slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms after
                    1300.
LAL.................1 until 1300, then 3.
Max temperature.....70F.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West 4-9 mph until 1200, then west 10-15 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    after 1200.
Mixing height.......1500 ft agl until 0900. 7000 ft agl after 1000.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then good until 1200, then
                    very good.
Haines Index........6 or high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........12  10  11  11  21  33  43  47  51  55  53  51
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3
Temp............39  42  49  55  62  65  67  68  68  69  68  66
RH..............45  54  43  35  26  22  19  18  18  17  18  19
20 FT wind dir..W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W   W   W   W
20 FT wind spd..5   5   5   7   7   7   10  10  10  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   15  15  15  21  21  21  22  22  22
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 1.0 1.5 3.5 7.0 9.0 11  10  9.0 8.0 7.0 6.0
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW
Transp wind spd.6   6   8   9   12  13  15  17  18  21  22  22
Haines index....6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
SDspl kt-ft/10004   3   11  27  71  97  141 148 143 144 133 114

$$
Forecaster...WANKOWSKI
Requested by...Joshua Jordan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415299.1/PUB
.DELDT 05/30/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0