Prognostic Meteorological Discussion
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FXUS01 KWBC 281915
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
314 PM EDT Tue May 28 2024

Valid 00Z Wed May 29 2024 - 00Z Fri May 31 2024

...Active central U.S. weather pattern to continue.  Heavy rains,
flash flooding and severe weather possible...

...Heat continues across southern Texas and much of Florida.  Hot
temps begin to build in the interior California Valleys...

...Cooler than average temperatures expected across the mid
section of the nation and much of the East..

The very active and highly impactful late spring weather pattern
will continue across the central U.S. over the next several days.
Initially activity will concentrate across portions of the
Southern Plains from Oklahoma into Texas from Tuesday afternoon
into Wednesday, where there will be potential for thunderstorms to
produce heavy rains, localized flash flooding and severe weather.
By late Wednesday into Thursday, a strong frontal boundary will be
pushing eastward into the Northern to Central High Plains.  This
will help focus the next round of active weather farther to the
north as thunderstorms blossom Wednesday afternoon across eastern
Montana, eastern Wyoming and northeast Colorado and then push east
into the Northern to Central High Plains.  Severe weather, heavy
rain and isolated flash flooding will be possible across these
areas.  The focus for the next round of impactful thunderstorms on
Thursday will then be shifting back to the south across portions
of the Central and Southern Plains across eastern Nebraska, much
of Kansas, Oklahoma and northern Texas.  Additional heavy rains,
flash flooding and severe thunderstorms will be possible across
these areas as well.

The active central U.S. weather pattern will keep temperatures
below average over the next few days due to the clouds and
rainfall.  Hot temperatures, however, look like they will continue
across southern Texas and across large portions of Florida. Record
high afternoon temperatures and record high morning low
temperatures are possible across portions of South and Southwest
Florida over the next two days.  Record high morning lows also
possible across portions of South and coastal Texas Wednesday and
Thursday morning.  Heat will also be increasing by mid to late
week in the interior valleys of California.  However, temperatures
are expected to remain below record high values.

A broad mid to upper level trough centered from eastern Canada,
south through the Great Lakes, Ohio Valley and Northeast will
support below average temperatures mid to late week across large
portions of the East.  Widespread scattered afternoon showers are
possible Tuesday from the Lower Lake into the Ohio Valley and on
Wednesday across the Central Appalachians into portions of the
Mid-Atlantic.


Oravec

Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php

$$