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401
FNUS72 KTAE 231135
FWSTAE

Spot Forecast for Upcoming Prescribed fire...U.S. Air Force Wildland Fire
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
735 AM EDT Thu May 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on May 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (850) 942-8833, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Low clouds and some patchy fog will be ongoing for the next 1-2 hours;
however, it should dissipate by 9am CDT. This patchy fog and low clouds
will lead to low high LVORI values and low dispersions at the burn site
for the next few hours. Once the low clouds and patchy fog lift, the only
other concern will be the seabreeze that should come through mid day given
the burn locations proximity to the coast. This may lead to slight wind
shift out of the south, as well as an abrupt increase in winds/wind gusts
at the burn location. Overall, minimum RH values are not a concern, and winds
will predominantly be out of the southeast before transitioning to southerly
by mid day. Dispersions will similarly become favorable by mid day.
In general, there are no fire weather concerns at this time at the burn location.


.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........51  49  47  41  34  28  28  28  23  19  18
Weather cov.....PTY
Weather type....FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   10  10  10  0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............72  73  76  80  83  85  86  86  86  86  86
RH..............99  90  85  77  70  63  61  63  63  65  65
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   5   6   7   8   9   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.6   6   7   9   13  14  16  17  17  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.2
Transp wind dir.E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.5   6   9   13  14  14  13  12  12  12  10
Dispersion......3   6   13  28  41  43  43  40  35  35  31
LVORI...........8   7   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........21  21  19  17  21  25  24  23  25  29  37  49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............85  83  82  79  79  78  77  77  77  77  75  75
RH..............65  70  72  79  79  82  85  85  85  85  90  90
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SW  S   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT wind gust.14  13  10  9   9   9   9   9   9   9   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...2.0 1.7 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.10  9   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   5
Dispersion......25  19  4   4   3   3   3   4   4   3   3   4
LVORI...........3   3   4   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7

.FRIDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........56  58  51  44  31  32  31  30  29  28  25  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............75  74  75  78  79  83  85  85  85  85  85  85
RH..............90  90  90  85  82  70  65  65  65  65  65  65
20 FT wind dir..W   W   S   SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   3   5   5   6   8   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.7   6   6   7   9   10  13  16  17  17  20  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   6   6   7   9   10  12  13  13  13
Dispersion......3   3   6   9   13  19  23  29  33  34  35  35
LVORI...........8   8   7   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Bunker
Requested by...Thomas Reese
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414982.0/TAE
.DELDT 05/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL thomas_reese@fws.gov