508
FXUS62 KTBW 200043
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
843 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 829 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024

Another afternoon of very limited convection in our area. The lack
of moisture was the main culprit and this evening`s sounding
confirmed it. The dry air mostly aloft today, is forecast to
spread down to the surface through the week with critically low
humidities. Though there is a non-zero chance of a shower of two
to develop across southern portions of our CWA, most of should
remain dry. In addition, breezy west to northwesterly winds are
anticipated by Monday afternoon. Overnight lows range from the
upper 60s north to mid 70s south, while highs get to around 90
degrees.

Otherwise, no changes were made to the forecast as it remains on
track.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 739 PM EDT Sun May 19 2024

VFR conditions prevail through the period across terminals. South
to southwesterly winds are expected to become gusty and shift from
the northwest into the afternoon on Monday. Lingering front over
southern portions of the state could bring isolated storms in the
afternoon mainly to FMY/RSW, but the rest of the TAF site should
remain dry.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  76  88  72  90 /  10  10  10  20
FMY  76  91  72  92 /  30  30  10  30
GIF  72  90  70  90 /  20  30  10  40
SRQ  75  89  71  91 /  20  10  10  20
BKV  68  89  65  91 /  10  20   0  30
SPG  78  88  76  90 /  10  10  10  20

&&


.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION...Delerme
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...ADavis