481
FXUS62 KTBW 020052
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
852 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 852 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Easterly flow will remain in place with high pressure ridging
across the area at the surface. An upper trough passes over the
area Sunday and will allow for some scattered showers and storms
tomorrow afternoon with the highest chances south. Current
forecast is on track with this and have lows falling into the
upper 60s to mid 70s overnight. Have made a few minor adjustments
to overnight rain chances over the coastal waters and for evening
winds. Update is out.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 852 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

Easterly flow will continue through the overnight hours and into
Sunday morning. Winds then shift onshore in the afternoon at the
coastal terminals, with scattered storms possible mainly after
20Z. VFR is expected to prevail, but MVFR to IFR will be possible
in storms.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 852 PM EDT Sat Jun 1 2024

A few showers may develop overnight, then higher chances as storms
push offshore tomorrow afternoon/evening. Easterly flow will
continue with high pressure in place to the east over the
Atlantic. Current forecast is on track and have only made a few
adjustments to the overnight PoPs.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  74  91  75  92 /  10  40  20  30
FMY  72  93  73  94 /  10  60  40  50
GIF  69  92  72  94 /   0  50  10  40
SRQ  71  91  73  94 /  10  40  30  30
BKV  68  91  67  94 /  10  40  20  30
SPG  77  90  77  92 /  10  40  30  30

&&

Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Sunday: 2
Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Monday: 2

For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to:
     https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Hubbard
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...Oglesby