Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
037 FXUS62 KTBW 241126 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 726 AM EDT Fri May 24 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 724 AM EDT Fri May 24 2024 VFR conditions through the period. Light easterly winds this morning will turn southwesterly and increase slightly early this afternoon. Winds will become more northwesterly and increase to between 10-12 kts later in the afternoon. Light and variable winds are once again expected overnight. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 433 AM EDT Fri May 24 2024 Hot and dry ridging at the surface and aloft will allow temps to reach into the lower 90s near the coast and mid 90s inland with some pockets of upper 90s. Light E/SE flow to start the day, turning westerly in the afternoon and increasing to 10-15 mph and gusty along the coast. Be sure to continue practicing safe heat practices like staying hydrated, wearing sunscreen and light colored clothing. Ridge axis shifts south for the weekend, with W/NW flow in place. A few showers and storms will be possible inland on Saturday afternoon as an upper shortwave moves over the state, other wise it remains hot and dry. A weak frontal boundary moves through the area Tuesday through Wednesday, with 20-40 percent chances of storms as it moves through. Temperatures will remain warm, with lower to mid 90s each afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 92 77 91 76 / 10 0 0 0 FMY 95 76 94 74 / 10 10 10 0 GIF 96 73 96 73 / 10 10 10 0 SRQ 93 74 91 74 / 0 0 0 0 BKV 94 69 94 69 / 10 0 10 0 SPG 92 78 89 78 / 0 0 0 0 && Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Friday: 1 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Saturday: 4 For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ AVIATION...ADavis PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...Hubbard DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...Shiveley