Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK
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506 FXUS64 KTSA 290530 AFDTSA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tulsa OK 1230 AM CDT Wed May 29 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Through tonight) Issued at 216 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Bulk of shower and storm activity gas remained to the west this afternoon, though some activity is noted across parts of NE OK. Rain and storm chances will continue tonight with any weak waves traversing the area in W-NW flow aloft. Slightly higher PoPs will be focused across the western portion of the CWA. && .LONG TERM... (Tomorrow through Tuesday) Issued at 216 PM CDT Tue May 28 2024 Deep gulf moisture will continue to feed into the area through Friday while the upper pattern remains active. As is often seen, model spread regarding timing and placement of an any individual upper wave problematic, so including PoPs everywhere in most if not all periods of the forecast cycle is reasonable given the upper pattern. At this time, best chances for rain/storms appear to be late Thursday night into Friday as a more notable upper wave moves through. Additional, but lower chances for rain and storms will continue through the weekend and into next week as little overall change in the upper pattern is expected. Widespread severe weather is not expected over the next several days, though an isolated strong to marginally severe storm is possible. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1230 AM CDT Wed May 29 2024 VFR conditions will prevail through tonight with some mid to high cloud cover spreading over the area. Continued cloud cover should keep fog from forming overnight, but some patchy light fog could be possible toward sunrise. Scattered showers will become possible again during the daytime hours with some embedded thunderstorms during the afternoon. MVFR/IFR conditions could briefly occur within any thunderstorms. Winds will generally be less than 10 knots out of the southeast. Bowlan && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TUL 78 63 79 64 / 50 20 30 60 FSM 81 65 79 66 / 60 20 20 30 MLC 79 63 78 66 / 70 20 30 50 BVO 78 59 79 62 / 40 10 30 60 FYV 80 60 78 61 / 60 20 20 30 BYV 77 58 78 60 / 50 10 20 30 MKO 78 63 78 64 / 60 20 30 50 MIO 78 59 79 62 / 40 10 30 50 F10 77 62 78 64 / 60 20 40 60 HHW 79 65 78 66 / 70 20 40 30 && .TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. AR...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...23 LONG TERM....23 AVIATION...04