Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
030 FXUS65 KTWC 272110 AFDTWC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tucson AZ 210 PM MST Mon May 27 2024 .SYNOPSIS...High temperatures will run above normal over the next seven days as we close out May and begin June. && .DISCUSSION...Clear skies across the region with temperatures climbing up to the triple digit territory. As of 2 pm, Tucson Airport hit 96 degrees which is 4 degrees warmer than previous 24 hours. It is shaping up that today could be the day Tucson breaks the ice, especially with the NBM probabilities of exceeding 100 degrees is at least 25% from the 13z run. We will be keeping an eye out on the thermometer for the next few days. Tomorrow, Tucson and the low lying areas to the west have better chances of hitting 100 degrees. For the rest of the week, temperatures will generally stay elevated around the triple digit mark for the lower elevations and mid to upper 90s. The synoptic pattern will have a ridge over the Great Basin through Wednesday with a trough passing to the north that will suppress the strength of the ridge. Temperatures will still generally be in the upper 90s for Tucson. By the weekend, the ridge will build again along the western coast to the Great Basin to bring better chances for 100 degrees for areas west of Tucson. Dry and hot start to June. && .AVIATION...Valid through 29/00Z. SKC through the forecast period. SFC winds southwesterly to northwesterly 8-12 kts with the occasional gusts up to 20 kts this afternoon through 28/02Z and again returning after 28/18z. In between, terrain driven winds with speeds less than 10 kts. Aviation discussion not updated for TAF amendments. && .FIRE WEATHER...Afternoon temperatures will be several degrees above normal throughout the rest of the week. Min relative humidities will generally being the single digits for the lower elevations and lower teens for the higher elevations. Poor overnight recovers throughout the week with values in the 20s to lower 30s. Expect diurnal winds trends to continue with the occasional wind gusts, generally less than 25 mph. && .TWC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson