Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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897 FXUS63 KJKL 291023 AFDJKL AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Jackson KY Issued by National Weather Service Charleston WV 623 AM EDT Wed May 29 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - A few showers and thunderstorms will be possible through this evening, but most areas will remain dry. - Below normal temperatures can be expected through the rest of the work week. But temperatures will then warm over the weekend. - After a period of generally dry conditions, it will become unsettled starting over the weekend into early next week, with chances of showers and thunderstorms returning. && .SHORT TERM...
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(Today through Thursday) Issued at 300 AM EDT WED MAY 29 2024 Patchy valley fog should quickly burn off this morning. Otherwise, a series of shortwaves will drop south into the area today, creating showers and thunderstorms, mainly this afternoon and evening. Weak instability during the period should prevent much in the way of anything becoming severe, and bulk of convection should dissipate by this evening as the shortwave moves east, and from loss of daytime heating. Thursday morning will start out with areas of fog or stratus, but the remainder of Thursday should be dry, and cooler, as surface high pressure builds in from the north, with a northerly flow in place. .LONG TERM...(Thursday night through Tuesday) Issued at 300 AM EDT WED MAY 29 2024 Friday looks to be continued dry, but increasing heat across the area as an upper ridge builds across the area. Dry air in place will allow for a cool mornings both Friday and Saturday morning, with low temperatures dipping into the 40s across much of the area Friday AM, with a quick diurnal warming trend during the day. Showers and thunderstorms return to the area later Saturday and Sunday as a low pressure wave moves across the area. There could be a bit of a break in the precipitation at the start of next week, but at this point, the potential for multiple weak waves moving across the area looks to be likely, and have maintained a chance of pops into early next week.
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&& .AVIATION...
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(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Thursday morning) ISSUED AT 619 AM EDT WED MAY 29 2024 Patchy river valley fog across the area, particularly in the Big Sandy River basin, will dissipate after 12-13Z. Otherwise, mainly VFR conditions. After 15Z, westerly to west-northwesterly winds will become gusty at times, with occasional gusts in the teens, becoming light after 23Z. In addition, isolated to scattered showers and storms Wednesday, mainly after 16-18Z through 00Z Thursday will create brief MVFR conditions. Areas of fog or low stratus expected to develop after 08Z Thursday, creating MVFR/IFR conditions.
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&& .JKL WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM...SL LONG TERM...SL AVIATION...SL