Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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361 FXUS64 KSHV 211751 AAA AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Shreveport LA 1251 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024 ...New AVIATION... .UPDATE... Issued at 1143 AM CDT Tue May 21 2024 Due to abundant cloud cover in place and current and forecasted trends, decided to lower high temps a couple degrees. Otherwise, the remainder of the forecast remains on track. /20/ && .AVIATION...
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(18Z TAFS) Issued at 1251 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024 VFR conditions are expected through the afternoon and much of this evening, although an extensive cu shield will linger across the region as low level moisture continues to deepen with the return Srly flow. These cigs should eventually scatter out late this afternoon through the evening, although MVFR cigs are expected to develop after 03Z across Deep E TX/WCntrl LA, and quickly spread N to the I-20 corridor of E TX/Wrn LA by/after 06Z Wednesday, and across the SW AR terminals between 08-10Z. LFK may a brief period of IFR cigs around daybreak, before returning to MVFR by mid- morning. These low cigs will likely linger through late morning/midday Wednesday, before VFR cigs return. Isolated convection will be possible early to mid evening today across portions of extreme NE TX/SE OK/SW A, but should remain N of the TXK terminal and thus, low confidence precludes thunder mention attm. However, a more organized area of convection will develop along a weak cold front across Srn and Ern OK, and will spread into areas NW of the I-30 corridor by mid and late morning, and could affect TXK/ELD by or shortly after the end of the 18Z TAF period. /15/
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&& .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 91 77 91 74 / 0 10 20 30 MLU 90 73 89 71 / 0 10 20 20 DEQ 87 71 85 67 / 10 30 70 70 TXK 90 75 90 70 / 10 20 60 60 ELD 89 73 88 68 / 0 10 40 40 TYR 90 76 90 73 / 10 20 30 30 GGG 90 76 90 73 / 10 20 20 30 LFK 89 76 90 73 / 10 10 10 10 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...20 AVIATION...15