Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX
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050 FXUS64 KAMA 240816 AFDAMA Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Amarillo TX 316 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024 ...New KEY MESSAGES, SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Issued at 314 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024 - Thunderstorms possible in the southeast along and ahead of a cold font. Lightning, gusty winds, and brief heavy rain possible. Severe weather is not expected. - No rain expected through Monday after today. && .SHORT TERM ... (Today through Wednesday night) Issued at 314 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024 A southward moving cold front approaching the Palmer Divide will move south across the Panhandles today. The cold front is expected to be moving across the southeast Texas Panhandle during peak heating today. This front may combine with just enough moisture to help produce some showers and thunderstorms during the late afternoon in the southeast Texas Panhandle. By evening, the front should be south of the Texas Panhandle taking any precipitation with it. A surface high will build into the Panhandles on Wednesday bringing lighter winds. On Wednesday an upper level low will pinch off from the flow and become closed near Saint Louis. && .LONG TERM ... (Thursday through Monday) Issued at 314 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024 The upper level low will become cutoff from the flow and will meander around Arkansas or southeast Missouri in between 2 highs one off the southeast U.S. coast and another over the southern Rockies through the first part of the weekend. The low will then finally move off to the northeast Sunday and Monday. The Panhandles will be generally on the back side of the upper level low through the early part of the weekend. There may be some showers or thunderstorms that clip the eastern Panhandles during the later part of this week if a well-timed short wave trough moves across the area and it has just enough moisture to work with. High temperatures are expected to remain above average through the rest of this week. && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1222 AM CDT Tue Sep 24 2024 Skies are expected to remain VFR. Southwest winds around 10 knots will turn to the north at 15 to 20 knots with higher gusts behind a cold front that will move through the TAF sites between 14Z and 18Z. Winds will then decrease with sunset. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Amarillo TX 86 53 83 53 / 0 0 0 0 Beaver OK 79 50 81 48 / 10 0 0 0 Boise City OK 78 49 80 49 / 0 0 0 0 Borger TX 88 54 86 53 / 0 0 0 0 Boys Ranch TX 85 51 84 51 / 0 0 0 0 Canyon TX 86 52 82 51 / 0 0 0 0 Clarendon TX 89 55 83 54 / 10 0 0 0 Dalhart TX 79 47 81 48 / 0 0 0 0 Guymon OK 80 48 81 47 / 0 0 0 0 Hereford TX 87 52 84 51 / 0 0 0 0 Lipscomb TX 83 52 83 51 / 10 0 0 0 Pampa TX 85 52 82 52 / 0 0 0 0 Shamrock TX 90 56 84 53 / 20 0 0 0 Wellington TX 91 56 85 53 / 20 10 0 0 && .AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. OK...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...15 LONG TERM....15 AVIATION...15