Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
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110 FXUS63 KAPX 270044 AFDAPX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Gaylord MI 844 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... - Unseasonably warm through next Monday - Rain chances Monday night into Tuesday && .UPDATE... Issued at 841 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024 No changes needed to the inherited forecast. Still looking at a quiet and seasonably cool night, with just a few passing high clouds across southern areas. Looking at lows tonight ranging through the 40s, with a bit "warmer" readings near the big waters. Those cooler temperatures will produce some patchy fog, some of which could be locally dense. && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/... Issued at 202 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024 As the southeastern states brace for the arrival of Hurricane Helene, high pressure covers the Great Lakes region. This area of high pressure is expected to lead to more of the same over the next few days, mostly sunny skies during the day but with patchy ground fog likely forming late at night. Temperatures will continue to be unseasonably warm with highs Friday ranging from the mid 70s to low 80s, along with light winds. Comfortably cool tonight with lows once again mainly in the 40s, with a few spots near the lake shores around 50 or so. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... Issued at 202 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024 No big changes to the long term forecast. Upper level ridging across the region is expected to hold moisture from Helene to our south through Monday. Will likely see patchy ground fog formation at night into the weekend with very little wind flow. A northern stream trough then leads to chances for showers Monday night into Tuesday. Unseasonably warm daytime temperatures continue with highs mainly in the 70s to near 80 through Monday. Seasonably cooler Tuesday into Wednesday with highs generally in the 60s. Lows at night ranging from the mid 40s to mid 50s except the upper 30s to mid 40s Tuesday night. && .AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY/... Issued at 701 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024 Only concern remains the expected development of early morning MVFR to IFR producing shallow fog and mist at the taf locations. Any fog/mist will burn off shortly after sunrise, leaving behind VFR conditions under just some passing high clouds. No wind concerns through the period. && .APX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...None. MARINE...None. && $$ UPDATE...MSB SHORT TERM...AJS LONG TERM...AJS AVIATION...MSB