Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Boston, MA

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077
FNUS71 KBOX 030644
FWSBOX

Spot Forecast for Quaboag WMA rx burn Hayes...Masswildlife
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
244 AM EDT Mon Jun 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on June 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Other than a brief spot shower, high pressure provides dry
conditions and light winds Monday and Tuesday across Worcester
county.

Minimum relative humidity on Monday will be 30 to 40 percent and
on Tuesday, minimum relative humidity will be 40 to 50 percent.

.OUTLOOK...Wednesday through Friday...

High pressure remains in control through Wednesday, then the
weather pattern becomes unsettled Wednesday night and Thursday,
with widespread showers for Worcester county along with downpours
and a few possible thunderstorms.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny then becoming mostly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Dewpoint............55.
Max apparent temp...80.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 8 mph shifting to the northeast
                    around 7 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (63200 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................6 to 7 increasing to 28 late in the morning,
                    then increasing to 60 increasing to 83 early
                    decreasing to 60 decreasing to 49 early in the
                    afternoon decreasing to 30 to 36 increasing to
                    51 to 58 late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
CEILING (KFT).......14 increasing to 20 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 25 early decreasing to 15 early
                    in the afternoon decreasing to 12 decreasing to
                    6.0 early in the afternoon increasing to 10
                    increasing to 13 late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........45  67  48  23  26  29  30  30  30  31  29
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............65  68  71  74  77  79  80  81  81  80  78
Dewpoint........56  57  56  54  53  53  53  53  53  54  55
RH..............73  68  59  50  43  41  39  38  38  41  45
Heat index (F)..65  68  71  74  77  79  80  80  80  80  78
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   10  10  12
Surface wnd dir.NW  N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Surface wnd spd.2   2   2   2   3   3   5   5   6   6   6
Surface wnd gst.6   6   6   7   8   9   9   9   10  10  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.1 0.1 3.1 6.1 9.0 7.4 5.7 4.1 5.0 6.0 7.0
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   8   8   7   7   6   6   7   7
LVORI...........3   3   2   1   1   1   1   2   1   1   1
ADI.............6   7   28  60  83  60  49  30  36  51  58
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..1   1   19  43  63  44  34  20  25  36  42
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR
Ceiling (kft)...14  15  20  20  25  15  12  6.0 10  13  15

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear. Patchy fog early in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Dewpoint............56 decreasing to 53 early in the morning.
Max apparent temp...76.
Surface winds (mph).East winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (28100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (400 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................41 decreasing to 2 to 4.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
CEILING (KFT).......20 increasing to 25 until just after midnight,
                    then decreasing to 20 after midnight decreasing
                    to 14 early in the morning decreasing to 9.0
                    decreasing to 4.0 early in the morning.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........18  15  8   6   5   6   9   12  8   9   11  31
Weather cov.....                                            PTY
Weather type....                                            FOG
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............76  73  70  67  65  62  60  59  58  56  55  55
Dewpoint........56  57  58  57  57  57  56  55  54  53  53  53
RH..............50  57  66  70  75  84  87  87  86  90  93  93
Heat index (F)..76  73  70  67  65  62  60  59  58  56  55  55
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   SE  E   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   5   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.10  10  12  9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7
Surface wnd dir.E   E   E   SE  E   SE  E   E   E   E   E   E
Surface wnd spd.6   5   5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Surface wnd gst.10  10  12  9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...4.7 2.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   8   8   8   7   7   7   6   6   6   5   5
LVORI...........1   2   3   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6
ADI.............41  25  4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   4
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate kt-ft/1K..28  17  1   1   1   1   1   0   1   1   0   1
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR
Ceiling (kft)...20  20  25  25  25  25  25  20  20  14  9.0 4.0

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Slight chance of rain showers late in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Dewpoint............55 increasing to 58 late in the afternoon.
Max apparent temp...78.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 8 mph shifting to the south 8 to
                    12 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2200 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (41400 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4 to 10 increasing to 19 to 25 late in the
                    morning, then increasing to 37 to 44 early
                    increasing to 51 to 58 early in the afternoon
                    decreasing to 48 decreasing to 30 late in the
                    afternoon decreasing to 11.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
CEILING (KFT).......4.5 increasing to 7.0 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 9.0 increasing to 10 early
                    decreasing to 9.0.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........30     17     6      17     31     41
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............56     61     68     74     77     78
Dewpoint........53     55     56     57     57     57
RH..............90     81     65     55     50     48
Heat index (F)..56     61     68     74     77     78
20 ft wind......E 2    E 2    SE 2   SE 3   S 5    S 6
20 ft wind gust.6      6      7      8      9      10
Surface wind....E 2    E 2    SE 2   SE 3   S 5    S 6
Surface wnd gst.6      6      7      8      9      10
Mix hgt (ft)....500    1400   2900   4400   5900   2200
Transport wind..E 5    E 6    SE 7   SE 8   S 8    S 10
LVORI...........6      4      3      1      1      1
ADI.............4      10     25     44     58     30
Haines index....5      4      5      4      3      3
Vrate kt-ft/1K..2      7      17     31     41     20
Ventrate Cat....POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   FAIR   POOR
Ceiling (kft)...4.5    4.5    9.0    12     12     10

$$
Forecaster...Nocera
Requested by...Alex entrup
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2415521.0/BOX
.DELDT 06/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alex.entrup@mass.gov