Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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216
FNUS51 KBUF 262334
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
733 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Weak high pressure begins to depart off towards New England this
evening. A low pressure system tracking through the Great Lakes
region will bring increasing chances for showers and thunderstorms
tonight into Memorial Day as a pair of fronts push through our
region. Some of the stronger storms will have the potential to
produce torrential downpours and also gusty winds. Showers and some
thunderstorms will continue to be possible through midweek but drier
weather then return for the tail end of the week.

NYZ201-270800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
733 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                     50           70           70           50
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       62           77           57           72
AM Wind (mph)                                SE 11                     SW 10
PM Wind (mph)                    E  6         S 13        SW  8         W 12
Precip amount                    0.06         0.61         0.39         0.02
Precip duration                     3            9            6            2
Precip begin                     1 AM   Continuing   Continuing        11 AM
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing         2 AM   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           60          100           48
Haines Index                        4            3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        4370                      6430
Transport wind (kt)              E 11         S 24         S 17         W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       104880            0       141460
Dispersion Index                    0          105            0          141
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-270800-
Southern Tier-
733 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

                              Tonight          Mon    Mon Night          Tue
Cloud cover                     Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                     80           70           50           60
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       61           76           54           72
AM Wind (mph)                                 S 12                     SW 10
PM Wind (mph)                   SE  6        SW 12        SW  8         W 11
Precip amount                    0.14         0.45         0.12         0.02
Precip duration                     6            6            2            5
Precip begin                    10 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                 Continuing   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           55           97           46
Haines Index                        4            3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            3            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        5430                      7010
Transport wind (kt)              E 12        SW 21        SW 16         W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       114030            0       147210
Dispersion Index                    0          114            0          147
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 70s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the lower 70s.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...West around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...West 5 to 10 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$