Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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FNUS73 KDMX 230902
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Spot Forecast for Soenksen Rx...Iowa DNR
National Weather Service Des Moines IA
402 AM CDT Thu May 23 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 CDT on May 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

An initial observation at ignition and a mid burn observation are required.

Please relay them to the National Weather Service for each prescribed burn.

.DISCUSSION...

Periods of wet weather will again occur over the region late
tonight into early Friday; late Saturday night into Monday and
possibly by next Thursday. Otherwise expect seasonal temperatures
and continuing green up with a very low grassland fire risk.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 15 to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 23 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (42400 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (89700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........4   2   3   2   8   8   10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............69  72  73  75  76  76  75
RH..............59  53  49  46  43  43  45
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..15  16  16  17  17  17  17
20 FT wind gust.21  24  25  26  26  26  26
Mix hgt (kft)...2.5 3.2 3.9 4.3 4.4 4.5 2.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.20  20  22  22  23  23  23
GFDI............0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100042  54  74  81  88  90  58

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms in the evening,
                    then showers with thunderstorms likely
                    overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 13 to 17 mph shifting to the
                    south around 13 mph early in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the evening and overnight. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms after 3 am.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 20 to 24 mph shifting to the southwest 16
                    to 17 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (49300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (8900 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........4      22     43     63     82     97
Weather cov.....       LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE
Weather type....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........       CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE
Temp............76     71     65     63     61     60
RH..............43     55     73     84     93     100
20 ft wind......SE 17  SE 15  SE 15  SE 16  S 13   S 13
20 ft wind gust.26     23     23     25     20     20
Mix hgt (ft)....2500   600    600    600    800    700
Transport wind..S 23   S 20   SE 20  S 24   SW 22  S 17
GFDI............0      0      0      0      0      0
Haines index....4      4      4      4      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100049     11     9      13     14     10

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Rain showers and
                    chance of thunderstorms early in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 12 to 14 mph increasing to 16 to 21
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 23 mph shifting to the northwest
                    around 24 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (12600 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (89600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
GFDI................0.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........84        44        29        19
Weather cov.....DEFNTE
Weather type....RNSHWR    NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........CHANCE
Temp............59        58        62        64
RH..............100       96        70        57
20 FT wind......SW 12G17  W 14G22   W 18G29   W 21G31
Mix hgt (ft)....1000      1900      3700      4200
Transport wind..W 15      W 21      W 23      NW 24
GFDI............0         0         0         0
Haines index....4         3         3         2
SDspl kt-ft/100013        35        75        90

$$
Forecaster...Vachalek
Requested by...Kody Wohlers
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414969.0/DMX
.DELDT 05/23/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kwohlers@inhf.org