Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
091 FNUS53 KDTX 291948 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 348 PM EDT Wed May 29 2024 .DISCUSSION...A stray shower or rumble of thunder remain possible south of I94 during late afternoon and this evening. High pressure then brings dry conditions for the late week period allowing afternoon min RH values in the 30 percent range each day. Temperatures drop to chilly lows near 40 by morning and then struggle to reach 70 Thursday afternoon. A warming trend gains traction Friday into the weekend with the next chance of rain due Saturday night. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-301415- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 348 PM EDT Wed May 29 2024 .REST OF THE AFTERNOON... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Max temperature.....60-66. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Min humidity........33-43 percent. 24 hr trend......17 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4230-4730 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (714). Pcpn amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Min temperature.....40-44. 24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler. Max humidity........73-83 percent. 24 hr trend......20 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph becoming northwest in the late evening and overnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph becoming northwest in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8). Pcpn amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Max temperature.....62-68. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Min humidity........27-37 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph becoming northeast early in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5330-5830 ft agl. Transport winds.....North around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (564). Pcpn amount.........None. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Min temperature.....42-48. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Max humidity........74-84 percent. 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......East around 5 mph becoming southeast in the late evening and early morning, then becoming light after midnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......240-440 ft agl. Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-301415- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 348 PM EDT Wed May 29 2024 .REST OF THE AFTERNOON... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Max temperature.....60-64. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Min humidity........31-41 percent. 24 hr trend......22 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North 15 to 20 mph diminishing to around 10 mph early in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3750-4250 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (675). Pcpn amount.........None. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent). Min temperature.....38-44. 24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler. Max humidity........77-87 percent. 24 hr trend......18 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl. Transport winds.....North around 10 mph becoming northwest after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9). Pcpn amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Max temperature.....62-66. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........29-39 percent. 24 hr trend......1 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5380-5880 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (718). Pcpn amount.........None. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Min temperature.....40-46. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Max humidity........67-77 percent. 24 hr trend......10 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph becoming south in the late evening and early morning, then becoming light after midnight. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......140-340 ft agl. Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late evening and overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-301415- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 348 PM EDT Wed May 29 2024 .REST OF THE AFTERNOON... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of thunderstorms until 2 pm. Chance of rain showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....64-70. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Min humidity........29-39 percent. 24 hr trend......21 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4700-5200 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph increasing to around 20 mph early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (779). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Min temperature.....40-44. 24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler. Max humidity........68-78 percent. 24 hr trend......35 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl. Transport winds.....North 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8). Pcpn amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Max temperature.....64-70. 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler. Min humidity........25-35 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......North 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6590-7090 ft agl. Transport winds.....North around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (694). Pcpn amount.........None. .THURSDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Min temperature.....42-48. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Max humidity........76-86 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph until early morning becoming light. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......180-380 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph becoming southeast after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. .TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. $$ BT