Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4
659
FNUS73 KDTX 211434
FWSDTX

Spot Forecast for Placeway Rx...MIDNR
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
1034 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1400 EDT on May 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Very warm conditions persist today with a chance for
afternoon/evening storms followed by a line of storms late tonight
as a cold front approaches. Minimum RH values are expected to
range between 40 and 50 percent this afternoon with relatively weak
southwest winds. A lingering chance for showers and thunderstorms
exists Wednesday as the cold front moves through. Precipitation-free
conditions return to finish the week.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds around 6 mph.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Excellent (MAX...664).

TIME (EDT)      2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........36  39  36  34
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............84  84  85  85
RH..............53  52  51  50
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  S
EYE LVL WND SPD.6   6   6   6
EYE LVL WND GST.14  14  13  14
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.1 5.9 5.6 5.3
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4
SMOKE DISPER....665 764 727 693

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent)becoming mostly
                    cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
                    Slight chance of thunderstorms overnight.
                    Chance of showers overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 69.
Max humidity........79 percent.
Eye level winds.....South winds 6 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 18 mph...becoming southwest 16 to
                    20 mph after 3 am.
Haines Index........3 to 4 OR very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Poor (MIN...43).

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........34     34     25     27     29     51
WEATHER COV.....S CHC                       CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............84     80     75     72     71     70
RH..............52     59     68     72     77     78
EYE LVL WND DIR.S      S      S      S      S      S
EYE LVL WND SPD.6      6      6      6      6      7
EYE LVL WND GST.13     12     12     13     14     13
MIX HGT (KFT)...5300   700    600    700    800    1000
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      3      3
SMOKE DISPER....578    64     61     85     130    169

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    early in the morning, then slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph...becoming west
                    with gusts to around 20 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 17 to 26 mph...becoming west 22 to 24
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 5 OR low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Smoke Dispersal....Excellent (MAX...892)...increasing to excellent
                   (MAX...1004) late in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........63        66        41        15
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE    S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
TEMP............70        74        80        82
RH..............78        71        60        53
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 7       SW 10     SW 12     W 11
EYE LEVEL WIND..14        19        19        20
MIX HGT (FT)....900       2700      3800      5200
HAINES INDEX....3         4         4         5
SMOKE DISPER....138       541       840       1155

$$
Forecaster...Kacan
Requested by...Jeff Vasher
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414826.0/DTX
.DELDT 05/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL vasherj@michigan.gov