190
FNUS22 KWNS 252157
FWDDY2

Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0456 PM CDT Sat May 25 2024

Valid 261200Z - 271200Z

No changes are needed to the D2 Fire Weather Outlook. See previous
discussion below for more information.

..Thornton.. 05/25/2024

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0156 AM CDT Sat May 25 2024/

...Synopsis...
Elevated fire weather conditions appear probable across parts of the
southern High Plains Sunday afternoon. Residual west/northwesterly
mid-level flow in the wake of a departing synoptic low will persist
across the southern Rockies through Sunday evening. This will
promote weak lee troughing across southern TX while surface high
pressure builds across the Intermountain West. Consequently,
northwesterly pressure gradient winds are forecast to increase to
around 15 mph across much of eastern and southern NM into adjacent
portions of western TX. Very dry conditions will persist through the
weekend with widespread RH minimums in the single digits to low
teens Sunday afternoon. Widespread elevated fire weather conditions
appear probable with localized areas of critical conditions
possible. Latest ensemble and deterministic solutions hint that
critical conditions may be confined to the lee of terrain features
where winds may reach 20-25 mph. However, weakening mid-level winds
through the day should limit the potential for more widespread
critical conditions. Regardless, most fine fuels are already
receptive based on recent fuel analyses, and very dry and windy
conditions on Saturday will promote additional fuel drying for
Sunday that will support the fire weather threat.

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product...

$$