Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
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664 FXUS65 KFGZ 231121 AFDFGZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 421 AM MST Mon Sep 23 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Dry weather and above average temperatures will continue through the forecast period. Expect generally light winds varying in direction each day. && .DISCUSSION...Despite being at the time of the year where we expect temperatures to cool, a warming trend is forecast through the end of the week. If these above normal temperatures are not your jam, just wait for the evening/overnight hours where temperatures in the 30s and 40s are expected for many areas of the High Country. These warm, dry, and mostly calm conditions are thanks to a strong high pressure system. This pattern will continue to dominate much of the Southwest through the next 7+ days, with minimal change shown in model guidance. The slight change we can expect is over the weekend, where temperatures look to drop by a couple of degrees from a potential passing shortwave. This wave looks to stay mostly north and east of Arizona, but overall will slightly weaken the pressure gradients associated with the ridge. Even with the slight dip in daytime highs, these temperatures should still ring in 5-10 degrees above normal. With no major changes expected through the forecast period, this discussion will be kept short and sweet. Check back later in the week for updates. && .AVIATION...Monday 23/12Z through Tuesday 24/12Z...VFR conditions with N-NE winds 5-15 kts, becoming light and variable after 02Z. OUTLOOK...Tuesday 24/12Z through Thursday 26/12Z...VFR conditions with variable winds 5-15 kts. && .FIRE WEATHER...Today and Tuesday...Warm and dry weather continues with variable winds around 5-15 mph each day. Afternoon RH values between 10-20 percent. Wednesday through Friday...Warm and dry conditions continue through the week. Expect variable winds around 5-15 mph each day with afternoon RH values between 10-20 percent. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. && $$ PUBLIC...Konieczny AVIATION...Meola FIRE WEATHER...Meola For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff