Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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810
FNUS53 KGRR 241927
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
327 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

...Risk for Showers Tonight...

.DISCUSSION...One wave of low pressure moves through the zones
tonight.  This feature may lead to scattered showers and
thunderstorms. High pressure returns for Saturday. This will
support conditions drying out somewhat but and isolated inland
shower/storm cannot be ruled out.  A greater risk for storms
exists Sunday afternoon and evening as a stronger storm system
moves in.


MIZ037>039-043>045-250815-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
327 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 11 PM. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-900 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1300-1800
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....160-220 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.24-1.17 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-53 percent near Lake Michigan and 35-40
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 9
                    percent wetter Inland.
20-foot winds.......West winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3100-3600 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....520-620 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent).
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......0-500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1000-1500
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....70-90 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and a chance of thunderstorms after 2
                    PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 26 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2300-2800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3300-3800 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....880-1020 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.50 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-250815-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
327 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers until 11 PM. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....53-58.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 7 to 12 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....130-180 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.14-0.47 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 11 AM, then
                    sunny (10-20 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 AM. Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........33-38 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....580-720 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....40-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....840-980 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.07-0.28 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-250815-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
327 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain showers
                    until 5 AM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    rain showers after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....190-230 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.33-1.02 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    2600-3100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....430-440 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 6 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the southeast
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....80 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and a chance of thunderstorms after 2
                    PM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 9 to 14 mph with gusts to
                    around 26 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....610-680 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.38-0.87 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-250815-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
327 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 11 PM. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....140-220 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.23-0.92 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) until 11 AM, then
                    sunny (5-15 percent).
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........27-32 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....600-650 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southeast around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....60-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and a chance of thunderstorms after 2
                    PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-42 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 27
                    mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....870-1000 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.48 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-250815-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
327 PM EDT Fri May 24 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 11 PM, then
                    mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 11 PM. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Rain showers likely after 11 PM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 60.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......South winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....140-190 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.10-0.57 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 AM. Slight chance of
                    showers until 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent until midday.
Max temperature.....71-76.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........32-37 percent.
   24 hr trend......6 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3400-3900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....560-630 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.04 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 52.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-89 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 6 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....60-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Rain showers
                    likely and a chance of thunderstorms after 2
                    PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 26
                    mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....840-910 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.23-0.77 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Showers in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Lows in
the mid 50s. Southeast winds 7 to 12 mph shifting to the southwest
overnight.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Slight chance of thunderstorms until midday. Partly
sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds
9 to 14 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 50s. West winds 6 to 11 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper
60s. West winds 7 to 12 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. North winds 5 to
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s.

$$