Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
158 FNUS53 KGRR 211956 FWFGRR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 356 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024 ...Some rain and strong winds possible tonight... .DISCUSSION...!! A cold front will bring some rain and thunderstorms tonight. Some of the storms could also bring strong downbust winds. THe rain will be ending in the morning, MIZ037>039-043>045-220815- Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta- Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart, Fremont, and Big Rapids 356 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 AM, then mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 5 AM, then partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. Min temperature.....54-59. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........91-96 percent near Lake Michigan and 82-87 percent Inland. 24 hr trend...... 24 hr trend...... 20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around 29 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......600-1100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1500-2000 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph. Smoke dispersal.....280-450 (fair to good). Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.11 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 2 PM, then mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max temperature.....67-72. 24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler. Min humidity........45-50 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around 27 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 4400-4900 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Southwest around 25 mph. Smoke dispersal.....860-1160 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Min temperature.....49-54. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Max humidity........91-96 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1500-2000 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....60-320 (poor to good). Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Max temperature.....72-77. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Min humidity........41-46 percent near Lake Michigan and 32-37 percent Inland. 24 hr trend......9 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 17 percent drier Inland. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2700-3200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 7100-7600 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....1380-1600 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ040-046-220815- Clare-Isabella- Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant 356 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers until 2 AM. Chance of thunderstorms. Showers likely after 2 AM. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Min temperature.....61-66. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Max humidity........82-87 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 8 mph shifting to the south around 11 mph and gusty overnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 mph shifting to the southwest overnight. Smoke dispersal.....150-390 (fair to good). Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.12 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Max temperature.....Around 72. 24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler. Min humidity........44-49 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around 26 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 25 mph. Smoke dispersal.....940-1170 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Min temperature.....49-54. 24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler. Max humidity........85-90 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL decreasing to 100-600 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....60-440 (poor to good). Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent). Max temperature.....Around 77. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........30-35 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......8300-8800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....1470-1670 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ050-056-064-071-220815- Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren- Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland, and South Haven 356 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 AM, then mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 5 AM, then partly cloudy (65-75 percent). Rain showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......70 percent after midnight. Min temperature.....56-61. 24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer. Max humidity........85-90 percent. 24 hr trend......22 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South winds 11 to 16 mph with gusts to around 28 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph. Smoke dispersal.....240-360 (fair to good). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Max temperature.....71-76. 24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler. Min humidity........46-51 percent. 24 hr trend......2 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with higher gusts. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2600-3100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 3900-4400 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph. Smoke dispersal.....760-890 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent). Min temperature.....52-57. 24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler. Max humidity........81-86 percent. 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....50-160 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Max temperature.....74-79. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........39-44 percent near Lake Michigan and 31-36 percent Inland. 24 hr trend......13 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 18 percent drier Inland. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2800-3300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 6400-6900 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....760-980 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ051-052-057>059-220815- Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton- Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia, and St. Johns 356 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers until 2 AM. Chance of thunderstorms. Showers likely after 2 AM. Chance of pcpn......60 percent after midnight. Min temperature.....62-67. 24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer. Max humidity........79-84 percent. 24 hr trend......22 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 27 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....180-440 (fair to good). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Max temperature.....74-79. 24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler. Min humidity........44-49 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......West winds 14 to 19 mph with gusts to around 27 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 25 mph. Smoke dispersal.....1010-1120 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Min temperature.....Around 54. 24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler. Max humidity........81-86 percent. 24 hr trend......5 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....50-320 (poor to good). Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Max temperature.....Around 77. 24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer. Min humidity........26-31 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......7800-8300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....1000-1290 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ065>067-072>074-220815- Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson- Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo, Battle Creek, and Jackson 356 PM EDT Tue May 21 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent) until 5 AM, then mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms after 12 AM. Chance of pcpn......40 percent after midnight. Min temperature.....Around 68. 24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer. Max humidity........79-84 percent. 24 hr trend......22 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 27 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1400-1900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....180-360 (fair to good). Pcpn Amount.........0.02-0.12 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Slight chance of showers. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Max temperature.....78-83. 24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler. Min humidity........44-49 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......West winds 11 to 16 mph with higher gusts. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph. Smoke dispersal.....1000-1260 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent). Min temperature.....Around 56. 24 hr trend......14 degrees cooler. Max humidity........81-86 percent. 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West winds around 6 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....West around 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....40-350 (poor to good). Pcpn Amount.........None. .THURSDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Max temperature.....Around 80. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Min humidity........29-34 percent. 24 hr trend......15 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......7300-7800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....640-950 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 8 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms. Showers likely in the evening, then a chance of showers overnight. Lows in the mid 50s. South winds 5 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest overnight. .SATURDAY...Cooler. Mostly sunny. Chance of showers until midday. Highs in the upper 60s. West winds 7 to 12 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. West winds 5 to 9 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 50. .MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 70s. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 50. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 70. $$