347
FXUS63 KICT 271731
AFDICT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Wichita KS
1231 PM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Above normal temperatures and dry conditions will continue
  through the weekend into the start of the work week.

- Cold front will bring a brief cool-down for Tue but will be
  short-lived.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 242 AM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024

Currently have an upper low situated over western portions of
the Tennessee Valley with Hurricane Helene quickly tracking
across southern GA. Meanwhile, upper ridging is centered over
the Desert Southwest. At the surface, weak lee troughing is in
place with high pressure over the Great Lakes region.

Upper low is expected to continue churning over the Tennessee
Valley and will ingest Helene today into the evening hours. For
tonight into Sat, the upper low will slightly retrograde back
to the northwest over western portions of KY. This feature will
finally start to progress east Sun evening into Mon.
Unfortunately the upper low and tropical moisture will remain
too far east to bring us rain with the only effect being some
high clouds.

Further west, upper ridging will remain in place across the
Desert Southwest through the weekend. There is the good model
agreement in a shortwave trough tracking across southwest Canada
and across the Northern Intermountain Sun evening and into the
Northern Plains by Mon afternoon. This will allow a cold front
to move through the forecast area late Mon night into Tue
morning, but with such a dry airmass in place, will not provide
any precip chances. However, it will knock down highs into the
70s for Tue, but will be a brief cool-down with highs back into
the 80s to finish out the work week.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1229 PM CDT Fri Sep 27 2024

Light northerly winds will prevail today with some high clouds
and perhaps mid clouds impacting far eastern Kansas at times
while VFR is expected through the upcoming 24-hr TAF period.
Breezy northerly winds will redevelop over eastern Kansas on
Saturday afternoon with VFR anticipated.

&&

.ICT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...RBL
AVIATION...MWM