Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
354 FNUS52 KILM 241904 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 304 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 .DISCUSSION... More unsettled weather should return late week as we see at least some fringe effects from low pressure tracking northward from the Gulf of Mexico. High pressure should dry out the area over the weekend. Fog potential for tonight is Moderate. NCZ105>110-251115- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 304 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 30 Precip Type None None None Tstms LAL 1 1 1 2 Min/Max Temp 69 86 70 83 Max/Min RH (%) 99 67 99 75 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4 E 5 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var SE 8 G18 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.12 Precip Duration 1 Precip Begin 8 AM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/1000 1900 75/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 3400 Transport Wind (mph) S 13 SE 17 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 50700 57800 ADI Early 21 Fair 40 Fair 21 Fair 36 Fair ADI Late 5 Very Poor 33 Fair 7 Poor 43 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 6 7 6 6 Max LVORI Late 6 3 6 3 Min VSBY Early 7 5 Fog 7 Min VSBY Late 6 Fog 7 6 Fog Turner Stability F C E D Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 50 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 75 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. North winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ087-096-099-251115- Robeson-Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 304 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0 40 Precip Type None None None Tstms LAL 2 1 1 2 Min/Max Temp 69 86 70 83 Max/Min RH (%) 100 67 100 73 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var E 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var E 7 G17 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.22 Precip Duration 2 Precip Begin 6 AM Precip End Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/1000 1900 74/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 3300 Transport Wind (mph) S 13 SE 17 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 48100 56100 ADI Early 23 Fair 44 Gen Good 24 Fair 35 Fair ADI Late 6 Very Poor 39 Fair 6 Very Poor 47 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 7 9 6 8 Max LVORI Late 9 3 7 3 Min VSBY Early 7 3 Fog 6 Fog Min VSBY Late 5 Fog 6 Fog 7 Turner Stability E C E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of showers 70 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 78 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 70 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-251115- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 304 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 50 Precip Type None None Showers Tstms LAL 1 1 2 3 Min/Max Temp 69 85 71 82 Max/Min RH (%) 100 67 98 78 Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 4 Lgt/Var SE 4 E 5 G17 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 6 SE 4 SE 9 G21 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 Precip Duration 0 2 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 77/1000 1900 74/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Fair Haines Index 4 3 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 3900 2700 Transport Wind (mph) S 14 SE 20 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54600 54000 ADI Early 28 Fair 43 Gen Good 28 Fair 38 Fair ADI Late 6 Very Poor 38 Fair 9 Poor 42 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 7 9 5 6 Max LVORI Late 8 3 6 4 Min VSBY Early 7 4 Fog 7 Min VSBY Late 5 Fog 6 Fog 7 Turner Stability F C D C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of precipitation 60 percent. Southeast winds around 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Light winds. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 76 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. North winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-251115- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 304 PM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 0 0 20 50 Precip Type None None Showers Tstms LAL 2 2 1 3 Min/Max Temp 69 86 70 82 Max/Min RH (%) 100 62 100 78 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var SE 4 E 5 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var E 8 G19 Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.52 Precip Duration 0 2 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 1900 78/1000 1900 74/0900 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 4 4 3 3 DSI 2 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 2700 Transport Wind (mph) S 14 SE 18 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 58800 48600 ADI Early 26 Fair 50 Gen Good 30 Fair 37 Fair ADI Late 6 Very Poor 43 Gen Good 9 Poor 44 Gen Good Max LVORI Early 7 9 6 8 Max LVORI Late 9 3 7 3 Min VSBY Early 6 Fog 3 Fog 7 Min VSBY Late 5 Fog 6 Fog 7 Turner Stability E C E C Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent. East winds around 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent. Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .SUNDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. East winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 70 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. North winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$