Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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587
FNUS72 KJAX 221110
FWSJAX

Spot Forecast for Paynes Prairie burn 43rd terr #2...Florida Park Service
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
710 AM EDT Wed May 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on May 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (904) 741-4370 if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Dense fog at the moment will burn off between 8 am
and 9 am this morning and light and variable winds becoming Easterly
this afternoon as the sea breeze pushes across the burn location
during the late afternoon hours with a brief increase to 10 mph
with gusts to 15 mph at times. A very brief shower cannot be ruled
out with the sea breeze passage, but rainfall chances remain around
10 percent or less. Mostly clear skies and light winds are expected
tonight with some patchy fog possible around sunrise Thursday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...
TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........37  25  28  31  37  38  42  47  42  43
Weather cov.....PTY
Weather type....FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............68  72  77  81  83  86  88  88  89  89
RH..............100 93  79  67  63  55  50  50  47  47
Heat index (F)..68  72  77  84  87  89  91  91  92  92
Wind chill (F)..68  72  77  81  83  86  88  88  89  89
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..2   2   5   6   7   7   7   7   7   8
20 FT wind gust.3   3   7   9   10  10  10  10  10  13
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 2.0 2.9 3.8 4.4 5.3 5.8 6.2 6.1 5.6
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   8   7   7   7   6   6   6   6   7
Dispersion idx..7   20  27  34  35  37  39  40  41  44
LVORI...........8   5   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...
TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........33  25  18  13  10  8   9   13  18  25  30  36
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............88  86  83  79  77  75  73  71  70  69  69  68
RH..............48  53  59  67  69  76  81  87  90  90  90  93
Heat index (F)..90  89  86  79  77  75  73  71  70  69  69  68
Wind chill (F)..88  86  83  79  77  75  73  71  70  69  69  68
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   8   7   6   6   6   5   3   3   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.13  13  10  9   9   9   7   6   6   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...4.1 2.7 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.9   12  14  14  13  12  10  10  9   8   7   7
Dispersion idx..45  40  7   6   6   5   5   4   4   4   3   3
LVORI...........1   1   3   3   3   4   4   5   6   6   6   7

.THURSDAY...
TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  28  17  7   7   8   14  19  25  24  24  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............68  68  70  75  79  83  86  88  90  92  92  92
RH..............93  97  93  87  77  65  57  54  49  46  44  44
Heat index (F)..68  68  70  75  79  87  90  92  94  96  96  96
Wind chill (F)..68  68  70  75  79  83  86  88  90  92  92  92
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   3   3   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.7 1.4 2.1 2.8 3.8 4.9 5.9 6.1 6.4 6.6
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   6   5   5   5   5   5   3   3
Dispersion idx..3   3   7   11  15  18  23  28  33  31  29  30
LVORI...........7   8   6   5   3   2   2   2   1   1   2   2

$$
Forecaster...Hess
Requested by...Burn Boss
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414889.0/JAX
.DELDT 05/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kevin.patton@dep.state.fl.us