102
FXUS65 KLKN 230922
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
222 AM PDT Thu May 23 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Active pattern continues through Saturday as a couple of storms
move through the region, leading to chances of precipitation. A
ridge of high pressure is forecast to bring much warmer and drier
conditions across the district next week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Thursday through Friday.

A chilly start to Thursday is expected across northern Nevada
after a cold front passed through the region. Morning lows across
northern Nevada in the mid 20s to mid to upper 30s look to be on
track for this morning. Model guidance continues to show
relatively dry conditions through today across the forecast area.
Highs are forecast to be generally in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

Afternoon highs trend up a bit higher on Friday, with highs in the
mid to upper 60s, with some areas seeing just over 70 degrees. In
terms of precipitation on  Friday, another disturbance is
advertised to impact the region. High elevation showers may start
in the early morning hours, and become more widespread into the
late morning and afternoon hours. This activity is forecast to
continue into Friday evening.


.LONG TERM...Saturday through next Thursday.

A strong low pressure system and cold front is expected to move
southward Saturday, bringing widespread showers and gusty west-
northwest winds to the CWA. A 25-30% chance of isolated to
scattered thunderstorms is possible across much of eastern Nevada
during the afternoon and evening hours. The system and front exits
the region Saturday night with dry and quite conditions by
Sunday. Highs for the weekend will be in the 60s to 70s with lows
in the 30s and 40s.

Dry conditions expected to continue into early next week as a
ridge of high pressure builds over the Intermountain West. Winds
will be fairly light through Tuesday but southwest winds will
increase by midweek as a trough slowly moves into the Pacific
Northwest. Highs will rise into the lower to mid 80s and overnight
lows in the 40s.


&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions expected for the next 24 hours at all terminals.
Expect winds of 10 to 15KT with occasional gusts to 20KT across
northern and central Nevada through today.

KEKO is AMD not SKED due to communication issue.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...As high elevation spring snowmelt continues, many
streams and creeks coming off snow covered terrain will experience
elevated flows. This week`s cooler temperatures have slowed the
rate of snowmelt, however elevated flows persist. Late this
weekend and into next week as warmer temperatures return, expect
flows on many creeks and rivers to rise again, possibly up into
action stage.

Wildhorse Reservoir is in action stage. Recent cooler temperatures
are allowing the reservoir level to gradually lower, however the
level is expected to remain in action stage all week.


&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
None.
&&

$$

95/90/86