Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
355 ACUS11 KWNS 212055 SWOMCD SPC MCD 212055 MOZ000-ARZ000-212300- Mesoscale Discussion 0877 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0355 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024 Areas affected...Parts of central and northern Arkansas Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 212055Z - 212300Z Probability of Watch Issuance...40 percent SUMMARY...Large hail and isolated damaging winds are possible with elevated thunderstorms moving into west-central/north-central Arkansas. The need for a watch in the short term is uncertain. DISCUSSION...Elevated thunderstorms have had a recent increase in intensity. While the environment ahead of this activity continues to destabilize slowly, it is not clear whether this activity will be able to become surface based in the near future. Strong effective shear and sufficient buoyancy will promote some risk of large hail as well as isolated strong/damaging winds. Convective trends will continue to be monitored as the need for a watch is not certain in the short term. ..Wendt/Guyer.. 05/21/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...PAH...LZK...SGF...TSA... LAT...LON 36019340 36399246 36579186 36589130 36449085 35699129 34979242 34419332 34469384 34859407 36019340