Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN
163 FNUS54 KMEG 211921 FWFMEG Fire Weather Planning Forecast for the MidSouth National Weather Service Memphis TN 221 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024 .DISCUSSION... A cold front will approach the region and stall through the week. This front combined with several upper level disturbances moving through the area will lead to unsettled weather through the week into the weekend and possibly into early next week. A moist and unstable airmass will set the stage for periods of heavy rain and strong to severe storms. Rainfall totals may top 5 inches from tonight through early next week. ARZ009-018-026>028-MOZ113-115-220930- Clay-Craighead-Dunklin-Greene-Mississippi-Pemiscot-Poinsett- 221 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 60 70 80 70 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Precip Amount 0.78 0.46 0.38 0.23 Precip Duration (hrs) 2 4 10 7 Precip Begin 12 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing Temp (24h trend) 69 (-1) 84 (-6) 66 83 RH % (24h trend) 96 (+12) 63 (+18) 100 62 AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6-10 S 4-8 PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 10-14 G23 S 6-10 S 3-7 S 5-9 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 800 900 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2500 2900 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 800 900 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2700 3100 Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 SW 6 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 17 SW 14 Vent Index (m2/s) 6400 5400 Category Day 3 3 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79 72 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 9 SW 6 500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 19 SW 13 Dispersion Index 36 38 14 34 LAL 4 4 5 5 LASI/Haines Index 4 3 3 3 Stability Class D C D B Stagnation Index 2 2 1 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 63 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Thunderstorms likely and a chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Thunderstorms likely and a chance of showers. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 52 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ ARZ035-036-048-049-058-220930- Crittenden-Cross-Lee AR-Phillips-St. Francis- 221 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 50 60 70 60 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Precip Amount 0.58 0.79 0.87 0.42 Precip Duration (hrs) 1 5 5 6 Precip Begin 2 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing Temp (24h trend) 69 (-1) 86 (-4) 67 84 RH % (24h trend) 96 (+10) 63 (+17) 100 63 AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4-8 S 3-7 PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6-10 G20 S 4-8 S 2-6 S 4-8 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 800 1000 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 2600 3200 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 800 1000 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 2800 3400 Transport Wnd (m/s) S 8 SW 7 Transport Wnd (mph) S 18 SW 16 Vent Index (m2/s) 6400 7000 Category Day 3 3 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 80 71 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 9 SE 6 500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 19 SE 13 Dispersion Index 21 38 12 43 LAL 3 4 4 4 LASI/Haines Index 4 3 4 3 Stability Class E B D B Stagnation Index 3 3 2 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Thunderstorms likely and a chance of showers. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Northwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ TNZ001>004-019>022-220930- Benton TN-Carroll-Dyer-Gibson-Henry-Lake-Obion-Weakley- 221 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 50 60 80 80 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Precip Amount 0.42 0.26 0.29 0.34 Precip Duration (hrs) 1 5 10 11 Precip Begin 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing Temp (24h trend) 68 (-1) 85 (-5) 66 83 RH % (24h trend) 94 (+2) 60 (+12) 100 64 AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5-9 S 2-6 PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 6-10 G21 SW 5-9 Lgt/Var S 4-8 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 900 700 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3100 2400 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1100 900 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3500 2800 Transport Wnd (m/s) SW 8 S 8 Transport Wnd (mph) SW 18 S 17 Vent Index (m2/s) 8800 7200 Category Day 4 3 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 78 72 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 8 SW 6 500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 18 SW 13 Dispersion Index 15 45 13 40 LAL 4 4 5 5 LASI/Haines Index 4 3 3 3 Stability Class E B D B Stagnation Index 3 3 1 1 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. West winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ TNZ048>055-088>091-220930- Chester-Crockett-Decatur-Fayette-Hardeman-Haywood-Henderson- Lauderdale-Madison-McNairy-Shelby-Tipton- 221 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy Precip Chance (%) 40 60 70 70 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms Precip Amount 0.34 0.58 0.23 0.55 Precip Duration (hrs) 1 3 5 6 Precip Begin 3 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing Temp (24h trend) 68 (0) 86 (-3) 66 82 RH % (24h trend) 94 (+1) 56 (+7) 100 65 AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4-8 S 3-7 PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5-9 G18 S 5-9 Lgt/Var S 4-8 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1000 800 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3100 2600 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1100 900 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3500 3000 Transport Wnd (m/s) S 9 S 7 Transport Wnd (mph) S 20 S 15 Vent Index (m2/s) 9900 6300 Category Day 4 3 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 80 72 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) SW 9 S 5 500m Tspt Wind (mph) SW 21 S 11 Dispersion Index 13 51 11 33 LAL 3 4 5 5 LASI/Haines Index 4 3 4 3 Stability Class E B D C Stagnation Index 3 3 2 2 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...Thunderstorms likely and a chance of showers. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. West winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 80. Minimum RH 56 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ MSZ001-007-008-010>012-020-021-220930- Coahoma-Desoto-Panola-Quitman-Tallahatchie-Tate-Tunica-Yalobusha- 221 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 40 50 50 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms Precip Amount 0.00 0.46 0.63 0.27 Precip Duration (hrs) 2 2 2 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Temp (24h trend) 69 (0) 88 (-2) 67 87 RH % (24h trend) 91 (+3) 54 (+7) 100 56 AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 4-8 S 3-7 PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 5-9 G18 S 5-9 S 2-6 S 4-8 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1000 1200 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 3300 4000 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1100 1300 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 3500 4200 Transport Wnd (m/s) S 8 SW 7 Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 SW 16 Vent Index (m2/s) 8800 9100 Category Day 4 4 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79 75 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 8 SW 5 500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 17 SW 12 Dispersion Index 16 41 13 43 LAL 3 3 4 4 LASI/Haines Index 4 3 4 3 Stability Class E B D B Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 57 percent. South winds 10 to 15 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. West winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. $$ MSZ002>006-009-013>017-022>024-220930- Alcorn-Benton MS-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Itawamba-Lafayette-Lee MS- Marshall-Monroe-Pontotoc-Prentiss-Tippah-Tishomingo-Union- 221 PM CDT Tue May 21 2024 Tonight Wed Wed Night Thu Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 40 50 Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms Precip Amount 0.00 0.22 0.20 0.21 Precip Duration (hrs) 2 2 2 Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Temp (24h trend) 68 (+1) 89 (-1) 67 88 RH % (24h trend) 89 (-4) 42 (-1) 98 51 AM Wind 20ft (mph) S 3-7 S 2-6 PM Wind 20ft (mph) S 3-7 S 4-8 Lgt/Var S 3-7 Mixing Hgt(m-agl) 1200 1100 Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 4100 3600 Mixing Hgt(m-msl) 1400 1200 Mixing Hgt(ft-msl) 4500 4000 Transport Wnd (m/s) S 8 SW 6 Transport Wnd (mph) S 17 SW 14 Vent Index (m2/s) 11200 7200 Category Day 4 3 500m Mix Hgt Temp (F) 79 77 500m Tspt Wind (m/s) S 7 SW 5 500m Tspt Wind (mph) S 16 SW 11 Dispersion Index 11 44 9 38 LAL 1 3 3 4 LASI/Haines Index 4 4 4 3 Stability Class E B D B Stagnation Index 3 3 3 3 Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .FRIDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. South winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds around 5 mph. .SUNDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 53 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .SUNDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. South winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 57 percent. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph. $$