Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
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663 FXUS62 KMLB 240512 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 112 AM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (06Z TAFs) Issued at 112 AM EDT Tue Sep 24 2024 Another quiet TAF period. E breezes 5-11 KT through mid morning, then 8-14 KT with gusts to 15-20 KT in the afternoon. VFR conditions prevail; slight chance of showers relegated to SUA. && .UPDATE... Issued at 953 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024 Lingering band of low level moisture along the southern Treasure Coast and an elevated low level easterly flow will continue the potential for isolated onshore moving showers, mainly along the Martin County coast into tonight. Otherwise, it will remain mostly dry, with lows in the 70s and skies mostly clear to partly cloudy. Fog development looks unlikely tonight, as boundary layer winds off the surface increase. && .MARINE... Issued at 202 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024 Afternoon-Tue Night...Weak surface high pressure continues to drift further into the western Atlc. Moderate E/ESE flow will continue during this time with winds increasing further Tue night 13-18 kts. Scattered showers and isolated lightning storms will occur this afternoon from the Cape southward with lower coverage on Tue as drier air filters down from the north. Seas 3-4 feet today-tonight building 4-5 ft Tue and up to 6 ft Tue night in the Gulf Stream Cape southward. .Previous Extended Marine Forecast Discussion Modified... Wed-Fri...Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine is forecast to continue to develop and strengthen over the northwest Caribbean in the next 48 hours, moving north into the eastern Gulf of Mexico mid week. Boating conditions are forecast to deteriorate further Wed into Thu as southeast winds increase 20 kts Wed and 25+ kts Wed overnight into Thu with seas building 7-9 ft (perhaps 10 ft north of the Cape during Thu). Small Craft Advisories look likely by Wed aftn. Deep moisture lifting northward will support a high coverage of showers and storms beginning late Wed into Fri. Winds will become S/SW Fri and decrease 15-20 kts with seas subsiding below 5 ft along the coast due to the offshore component but remaining 6-7 ft offshore. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 89 77 89 78 / 0 0 40 60 MCO 92 76 90 78 / 0 0 60 60 MLB 89 79 89 79 / 0 10 60 70 VRB 89 78 89 79 / 10 10 70 70 LEE 93 75 90 76 / 0 0 50 60 SFB 91 76 89 77 / 0 0 60 60 ORL 92 77 90 78 / 0 0 60 60 FPR 89 78 88 78 / 20 20 70 70 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE...Weitlich AVIATION...Heil