Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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090
FNUS74 KMOB 220923
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Carr Unit 3 Prescribed Burn...Florida Fish & Wildlife Conservation Commission
National Weather Service Mobile AL
423 AM CDT Wed May 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on May 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry forecast expected today and tomorrow at the burn
site. Minimum relative humidity remains well above critical thresholds.
Transport winds turn southeasterly late this morning and then southerly
by this afternoon and remain southerly on Thursday. Afternoon dispersion
will be generally good both days.

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog is possible through 9am
this morning and is possible again in the pre-dawn hours Thursday.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog early
                    in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 7 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 5800 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...Increasing to 1768 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 9 mph shifting to the south 10
                    to 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.East around 2 meters/second shifting to the
                    southeast 3 to 5 meters/second late in the
                    morning.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 43.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53  37  28  20  11  15  18  22  18  15  11  12
Weather cov.....PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............65  67  72  78  82  84  87  88  89  89  88  88
RH..............100 97  84  71  63  57  50  47  44  44  45  45
20 FT wind dir..ENE ENE E   ESE ESE SE  SSE SSE SSE S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   1   1   2   3   5   6   7   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.3           3   5   7   8   9   12  12  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 1.0 2.3 3.7 4.8 5.3 5.6 5.8 5.4 4.8 4.8
Mix hgt (km)....0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.6 1.5 1.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   ESE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SSE S
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   6   6   7   8   8   9   8   10  12
Trans spd (m/s).2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   5
Dispersion idx..3   6   8   17  28  33  40  45  45  45  46  46
LVORI...........9   8   4   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 67.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...Decreasing to 152 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight, then shifting to the southwest
                    around 3 mph after 3 am shifting to the
                    southeast 5 to 7 mph after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 4 meters/second shifting to the
                    north around 2 meters/second overnight, then
                    shifting to the southwest around 1
                    meters/second after 3 am shifting to the
                    southeast 2 to 3 meters/second after 3 am.
Dispersion index....Decreasing to 3.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........12  13  21  30  38  37  35  34  42  50  58  56
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............85  82  78  74  72  71  69  68  67  67  67  67
RH..............50  56  67  79  87  93  100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW SSW S   SE  ESE ESE
20 FT wind spd..7   6   5   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT wind gust.9   8   7   5   3
Mix hgt (kft)...4.8 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Mix hgt (km)....1.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   SSW S   N   SW  SSE SE
Transp wind spd.10  10  8   7   6   6   5   5   5   3   5   7
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   1   2   3
Dispersion idx..46  4   4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   3   3
LVORI...........1   3   3   4   5   6   8   9   9   9   9   9

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
Min humidity........47 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 8 mph late in
                    the morning.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 4600 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...Increasing to 1402 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 13 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 2 to 6 meters/second.
Dispersion index....8 increasing to 54 by early afternoon then
                    decreasing to 45 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........54  52  44  37  29  27  25  23  22  20  19  15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............67  68  73  77  82  85  88  88  88  89  89  88
RH..............100 100 87  79  67  59  50  48  48  47  47  48
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   5   6   8   9   9   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   5   7   8   12  13  13  13  13  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 1.4 2.3 3.3 3.8 4.2 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
Transp wind dir.SSE SSE S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   7   5   6   9   12  13  13  13  12  10  9
Trans spd (m/s).3   3   2   3   4   5   6   6   6   5   4   4
Dispersion idx..3   8   12  22  36  46  54  58  53  49  45  45
LVORI...........9   7   5   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$
Forecaster...7
Requested by...Mackenzie Sconyers
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2414858.0/MOB
.DELDT 05/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Mackenzie.Sconyers@MyFWC.com