138
FXUS63 KMPX 270400
AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1100 PM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- High in the 80s through Monday. September of 2024 will be the
  warmest and driest on record in the Twin Cities.

- A dry cold front will pass on Monday, bringing elevated fire
  weather conditions as gusty southwest winds become northwest.

- Temperatures will briefly cool down Tuesday through Thursday
  next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 221 PM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY...Early afternoon satellite imagery shows not a
cloud in the sky across the region. An area of surface high pressure
was located to the southeast, allowing for southerly winds to
develop across the area. A pressure trough extended southward across
the Dakotas from a surface low that was centered over Manitoba.
Tomorrow that surface low will track east/northeast, and the
pressure trough will become washed out as the surface flow
becomes influenced by the remnants of Helene moving across the
Tennessee River Valley. Temperatures will continue warm, but
winds will be light. Looking ahead, warm temperatures with highs
in the low 80s will continue through the weekend.

MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY... Dry weather will continue, but
temperatures will cool off a bit as a cold front passes through dry
on Monday. This cold front will have breezy southwest winds ahead of
it, and breezy northwest winds behind it, along with low humidity.
This will lead to elevated fire weather conditions on Monday.
Depending on the timing of the front, highs on Monday in the Twin
Cities could reach 80, which could end up being the 19th day with
highs in the 80s, breaking the all-time record of 18 days at KMSP
set back in 1908. Highs on Tuesday will be closer to the mid 60s,
rebounding back to near 70s for Wednesday and Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1054 PM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

VFR conditions continue through the period. Can`t rule out
patchy ground fog this morning at KEAU, but uncertain if it`ll
impact terminal. Winds are southeast aob 5kts and will become
light/variable during the thru mid-morning. Winds will shift to
the north at 5 to 7 kts Friday afternoon.


KMSP...No additional concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
SAT...VFR. Wind N 5-10 kts.
SUN...VFR. Wind SE 5-10 kts.
MON...VFR. Wind S 10-15 kts becoming W.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JRB
AVIATION...BPH