247
FNUS74 KMRX 261548
FWSMRX

Spot Forecast for Mount Leconte SAR...NPS
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1148 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1200 EDT on May 26.

If conditions become unrepresentative,contact the National Weather
Service...at 1-800-697-0075. If possible, please provide feedback
for every spot forecast request.

.DISCUSSION...

Continued rain and thunder chances will last through Memorial Day.
Confidence is increasing that severe weather will be a threat,
with a chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms with strong gusty
damaging winds, possible large hail and a low chance of a
tornado. Then late tonight into Monday morning a line of showers
and storms with damaging straight-line winds as the main threat. A
few tornadoes will also be possible. Dry and slightly more mild
conditions are expected by Tuesday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    afternoon. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
                    late in the afternoon, then slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........73 percent.
Dewpoint............54.
Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph.

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM
Sky (%).........68  78  79  68  71  65  61  60
Weather cov.....        SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Weather type....        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  20  30  40  40  30  20
Temp............62  62  63  65  66  65  65  64
Dewpoint........53  55  56  56  56  56  56  56
RH..............78  81  78  75  73  75  73  75
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.9   10  12  12  12  13  14  14
Surface wnd gst.15  16  18  18  20  21  22  23

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms overnight. Rain
                    showers and thunderstorms likely after 3 am,
                    then showers and thunderstorms early in the
                    morning. Patchy fog overnight.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Dewpoint............55.
Surface winds (mph).Southwest winds 15 to 21 mph with gusts to
                    around 33 mph.

TIME (EDT)      8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM
Sky (%).........59  49  42  40  43  51  62  72  78  84  88  92
Weather cov.....                            CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  30  50  60  70  80
Temp............61  62  62  61  60  59  59  60  59  58  57  56
Dewpoint........56  56  56  56  55  55  55  56  56  55  54  55
RH..............87  84  81  84  87  87  87  84  90  90  90  96
Surface wnd dir.SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Surface wnd spd.15  17  18  21  21  21  21  20  18  18  18  18
Surface wnd gst.24  26  30  33  33  33  33  31  30  29  30  29

$$
Forecaster...Timothy Doyle
Requested by...Greg Cronos
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2415104.0/MRX
.DELDT 05/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL gregory_cronos@nps.gov