Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA
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962 FXUS64 KSHV 220651 AFDSHV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Shreveport LA 151 AM CDT Sun Sep 22 2024 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .SHORT TERM... (Sunday through Monday) Issued at 107 AM CDT Sun Sep 22 2024 Upper-level ridging will remain in place off the Gulf Coast, but continue to flatten out over the course of the short-term. The flattening and retrograding of this ridge will coincide with a deep trough and cold front pushing through the Plains. This cold front will eventually begin to work into the region by tonight, resulting in increased shower and thunderstorm chances north of I-30. These showers and thunderstorms will continue to work east into Monday morning, before diminishing into the evening hours. Temperatures will continue to run above average this short-term, with highs ranging in the low to mid-90s. However, look for a drastic swing in temperatures in the long-term, as an even stronger front works into the region. /44/ && .LONG TERM... (Monday Night through Sunday) Issued at 107 AM CDT Sun Sep 22 2024 By Tuesday night, a much deeper trough and cold front will begin moving through the Plains, working into the region by Wednesday morning. Here, the low looks to become cut off and stall somewhere overhead. This will do two things: keep cooler air filtering into the region, and allow for narrower bands of heavier precipitation to form along deeper moisture flow from the Gulf. In turn, below average temperatures are possible into the weekend, aided by the increased cloud cover and rain. Additionally, a few locations could see localized 1-2 inches of rainfall with these heavier bands. Unfortunately, these amounts will be isolated, and many locations won`t see much QPF over the next seven days. /44/ && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 1217 AM CDT Sun Sep 22 2024 For the 22/06z TAF update...Satellite imagery is showing SKC across our region early this morning with a large complex of clouds moving through central and southeast Oklahoma. Expecting this trend to continue for the most part with maybe an increase in high clouds across our northwest zones later this morning. Should see less BR than what we have seen the past few mornings thanks to some slightly stronger winds but I still have some mention of some BR and limited visibility for KLFK as this seems to be a usual spot for BR. Otherwise, VFR conditions should prevail throughout this period. /33/ && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... SHV 94 74 92 72 / 0 0 10 10 MLU 94 71 93 72 / 0 0 0 10 DEQ 92 70 85 62 / 0 20 60 10 TXK 94 73 89 68 / 0 0 30 20 ELD 94 70 91 69 / 0 0 10 20 TYR 94 74 89 69 / 0 10 30 10 GGG 93 72 90 69 / 0 0 20 10 LFK 92 71 91 71 / 0 0 10 10 && .SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... AR...None. LA...None. OK...None. TX...None. && $$ SHORT TERM...44 LONG TERM....44 AVIATION...33