Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL
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516 FXUS62 KTBW 232337 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 737 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024 ...New AVIATION... .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 727 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024 VFR conditions prevail across terminals through the period. Breezy easterly winds anticipated during the afternoon with chances of showers and storms increasing later in the evening for portion of SW FL. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 208 PM EDT Mon Sep 23 2024 Quiet conditions today and tomorrow as a weak surface high hangs over the SE and Gulf Coast area. Drier air aloft is limiting shower and storm development today, with the exception being a few isolated showers that could pop up mainly along SWFL. Moisture continues to increase into the week. Main weather story of the week will be the development of potential tropical cyclone 9. National Hurricane Center is expecting this disturbance to strengthen quickly once it reaches the Gulf of Mexico and could potentially be a major hurricane when it reaches the northeastern Gulf Coast on Thursday. Impacts all along the west coast of Florida will be likely. The exact location and magnitude of these impacts is still uncertain. However, we encourage everyone to continue to monitor the latest updates from the NHC and local NWS offices and make sure you have a hurricane plan in place while there is time to prepare. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 76 93 77 90 / 0 10 10 70 FMY 77 94 78 89 / 20 30 30 90 GIF 75 94 77 91 / 0 10 10 60 SRQ 75 94 77 91 / 10 20 20 80 BKV 70 94 74 91 / 0 10 0 60 SPG 80 94 81 91 / 10 20 20 80 && Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Tuesday: 2 Sea Breeze Thunderstorm Regime For Wednesday: 7 For additional information on sea breeze regimes, go to: https://www.weather.gov/tbw/ThunderstormClimatology && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...None. && $$ DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...Delerme/Pearce DECISION SUPPORT...Close/Oglesby