930
FXUS64 KTSA 260223
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
923 PM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

...New UPDATE...

.UPDATE...
Issued at 923 PM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

Current forecast on track this evening with no anticipated
chances expected. As mentioned in previous discussion,
patchy fog still possible across SE OK/NW AR late tonight.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight)
Issued at 134 PM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

A quiet night is on tap for eastern Oklahoma and western Arkansas
Tonight as weak high pressure prevails. Patchy fog is forecast
across southeast Oklahoma and northwest Arkansas again tonight.
However, it is not expected to be as widespread as the fog that
occurred this morning.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Wednesday)
Issued at 134 PM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

The upper level low currently centered near Murphysboro, IL will
drift to the south over the next day or so before joining forces
with Helene late week and taking off to the northeast over the
weekend. Most of the heavy rainfall associated with these features
is expected to remain east of the area. However, low rain chances
are forecast for Friday across far eastern Oklahoma and western
Arkansas before the storm system moves away from the area. Locally
heavy rain will be possible across far northwest Arkansas.

The next cold front is slate to move through the region dry
Monday night/Tuesday. Temperatures are forecast to remain near
normal for this time of year through the period.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 618 PM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

VFR conditions are expected to prevail for most sites through the
period. There is a low chance of fog development again tonight,
primarily across NW AR sites, however it is not expected to become
as dense or widespread as last night. Maintained TEMPO group for
FYV but did not introduce similar lines for XNA/ROG/FSM due to
low confidence at this time. Otherwise, generally light north/
northwest winds are expected through the period with some
afternoon cu tomorrow.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   82  55  81  57 /   0   0   0   0
FSM   82  59  83  61 /   0   0   0  10
MLC   82  55  81  57 /   0   0   0   0
BVO   82  51  82  52 /   0   0   0   0
FYV   81  52  79  55 /   0   0   0  10
BYV   78  54  78  56 /   0   0   0  10
MKO   80  55  80  55 /   0   0   0   0
MIO   80  52  79  53 /   0   0   0   0
F10   80  53  81  54 /   0   0   0   0
HHW   82  58  83  58 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...12
SHORT TERM...10
LONG TERM....10
AVIATION...43