Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
373
FNUS53 KAPX 251851
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
251 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024
...Generally wet pattern will linger through mid week...
.DISCUSSION...One more afternoon of sunshine and breezy winds
Sunday which will result in min humidities of around 30 to 40%.
Wide spread rain and thunderstorm chances move in Sunday evening
with wet weather lingering through Wednesday. Breezy southeast
winds Sunday afternoon as clouds move in overhead. Winds will be
breezy as precipitation and moisture linger. Drier conditions
possible in the later half of the work week.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-260830-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
251 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 72-77 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......6 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........30-35 percent.
24 HR Trend......7 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (834).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 9 mph increasing to southeast
around 21 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely until 2400, then rain showers and chance
of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....50-55.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter...except 7 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 28 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (108).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.28 in.
.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
thunderstorms until 1200. Rain showers likely.
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 54-59 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........67-72 percent.
24 HR Trend......41 percent wetter...except 35 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (206).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph shifting to the west in
the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.39- 0.84 in.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-260830-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
251 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the south
around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 53-58 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........34-39 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter...except 19 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (478).
Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 9 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely until 2400, then rain showers and chance
of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (74).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.40 in.
.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely until 1200Chance of rain showers after
1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70...except 53-58 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........64-69 percent.
24 HR Trend......34 percent wetter...except 18 percent wetter
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 35 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (296).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph shifting to the
southwest around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.27- 0.82 in.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-260830-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
251 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) until 2400, then
mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Min Temperature.....49-54.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler...except 2 degrees warmer near
the coast.
Max Humidity........84-89 percent...except 75-80 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (24).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....74-79...except 61-66 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........31-36 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier...except 10 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (812).
Mixing Height.......3500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.07 in .
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....51-56.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (110).
Mixing Height.......900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.14- 0.38 in.
.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms until 1200,
then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....61-66...except 53-58 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......13 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
24 HR Trend......35 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (240).
Mixing Height.......1600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the west around
15 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.33- 0.68 in.
$$
MIZ031>033-260830-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
251 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........82-87 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the south after
midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer...except 10 degrees warmer
near the coast.
Min Humidity........33-38 percent.
24 HR Trend......4 percent wetter...except 10 percent drier
along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (1015).
Mixing Height.......3900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 24 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.11 in .
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain showers and
chance of thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....49-54.
24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (100).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 18 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.16- 0.37 in.
.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely and chance of thunderstorms until 1200,
then chance of rain showers.
Max Temperature.....61-66.
24 HR Trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........66-71 percent.
24 HR Trend......31 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up
to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (351).
Mixing Height.......2000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 12 mph shifting to the west around
15 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.22- 0.35 in.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-260830-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
251 PM EDT Sat May 25 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
becoming light. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (18).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph shifting to the south
around 6 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.SUNDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........28-33 percent.
24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (808).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 12 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in .
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers.
Chance of thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......5 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph with occasional
gusts up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (93).
Mixing Height.......800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast 15 to 21 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.41 in.
.MEMORIAL DAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Rain showers
likely until 1200Chance of rain showers after
1200.
Max Temperature.....65-70.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
24 HR Trend......35 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon. Gusts up to 30 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (439).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 12 mph shifting to the west
around 15 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.22- 0.50 in.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
ELD