Coastal Waters Forecast
Issued by NWS Key West, FL

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FZUS52 KKEY 262205
CWFKEY

Coastal Waters Forecast for the Florida Keys
National Weather Service Key West FL
605 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

Florida Bay, Hawk Channel and Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef
to south of Dry Tortugas, and the extreme southeastern Gulf of
Mexico, including The Florida Keys National Marine Sanctuary

Seas are given as significant wave height, which is the average
height of the highest 1/3 of the waves. Individual waves may be
more than twice the significant wave height.

Wave Detail will include details about the period and direction
of origin for the highest energy waves. Long-period swells coming
from a different direction than the wind would be included in the
Wave Detail.

GMZ005-270415-
Synopsis for Keys coastal waters from Ocean Reef to Dry Tortugas
605 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Major Hurricane Helene, located around 300 miles
northwest of Key West, will continue to produce tropical storm
force breezes through at least the early evening hours. Breezes
and seas will start to subside through the evening hours as
Helene makes landfall in Florida`s Big Bend Region. Breezes will
continue to slacken through the weekend as surface high pressure
takes over. A slight increase in breezes to gentle to moderate is
expected early next week.

Breezes will collapse this weekend as surface high pressure takes
over. Winds should then nudge up out of the southeast late this
weekend and early next week.

The Approximate Shoreward Edge of the Gulf Stream as of September
24...

58 NM South of Dry Tortugas Light...on Loggerhead Key.
30 NM South of Cosgrove Shoal Light...off the Marquesas Keys.
22 NM South of Sand Key Light...off Key West.
16 NM South of Looe Key...off Big Pine Key.
16 NM South of Sombrero Key Light...off Marathon.
 7 NM Southeast of Alligator Reef Light...off Islamorada.
 2 NM Southeast of Molasses Reef Light...off Key Largo.
 2 NM East of Carysfort Reef Light...off Ocean Reef.

Gulf Stream Information Courtesy of the Naval Oceanographic
Office.

$$

GMZ031-270415-
Florida Bay including Barnes Sound, Blackwater Sound, and
Buttonwood Sound-
605 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

.TONIGHT...Tropical storm conditions expected. South winds 25 to
35 knots with gusts up to 40 knots, becoming south to southwest
and decreasing to near 25 knots. Bay waters extremely rough.
Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms.
.FRIDAY...South to southwest winds 20 to 25 knots, decreasing to
near 20 knots in the afternoon. Bay waters very rough, becoming
rough. Widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...South to southwest winds near 15 knots, becoming
south. Bay waters a moderate chop. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots, decreasing to near 10
knots. Bay waters a light to moderate chop, becoming a light
chop. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southeast to south winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay
waters smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY...Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters smooth to a
light chop. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...East winds near 10 knots. Bay waters a light
chop. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
.MONDAY...East to southeast winds near 10 knots. Bay waters a
light chop. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
.MONDAY NIGHT...East winds near 10 knots. Bay waters a light
chop. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY...East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Bay waters
smooth to a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...East to southeast winds near 5 knots. Bay waters
smooth. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.

$$

GMZ032-035-270415-
Bayside and Gulf side from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge-
Gulf of Mexico from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon
Shoal out to 5 Fathoms-
605 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

.TONIGHT...Tropical storm conditions expected. South winds 25 to
35 knots with gusts up to 40 knots, becoming south to southwest
and decreasing to near 25 knots. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to
6 feet. West of the Marquesas Keys, seas 9 to 11 feet,
occasionally to 14 feet, subsiding to 7 to 9 feet, occasionally to
11 feet. Nearshore waters extremely rough. Numerous showers and
scattered thunderstorms.
.FRIDAY...South to southwest winds 20 to 25 knots, decreasing to
near 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to
6 feet, except 5 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet west of the
Marquesas Keys. Nearshore waters very rough, becoming rough.
Widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...South to southwest winds 15 to 20 knots,
decreasing to near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet, except around 4
feet, occasionally to 5 feet west of the Marquesas Keys. Nearshore
waters choppy, becoming a moderate chop. Numerous showers and
scattered thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY...South winds near 15 knots, becoming southeast to south
and decreasing to near 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3
feet, subsiding to 1 to 2 feet. West of the Marquesas Keys, seas
around 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet, subsiding to around 3 feet.
Nearshore waters a moderate chop, becoming a light chop.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or
less, except 1 to 2 feet west of the Marquesas Keys. Nearshore
waters smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY...Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less. West
of the Marquesas Keys, seas 1 to 2 feet, subsiding to around 1
foot. Nearshore waters smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot,
except 1 to 2 feet west of the Marquesas Keys. Nearshore waters
smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
.MONDAY...East to southeast winds near 10 knots. Seas around
1 foot, except 1 to 2 feet west of the Marquesas Keys. Nearshore
waters a light chop. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
.MONDAY NIGHT...East winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less,
except 1 to 2 feet west of the Marquesas Keys. Nearshore waters a
light chop. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY...East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or
less, except 1 to 2 feet west of the Marquesas Keys. Nearshore
waters smooth to a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 foot or less,
except 1 to 2 feet west of the Marquesas Keys. Nearshore waters
smooth to a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.

$$

GMZ042-270415-
Hawk Channel from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out to the reef-
605 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

.TONIGHT...Tropical storm conditions expected. South winds 25 to
35 knots with gusts up to 40 knots, becoming south to southwest
and decreasing to near 25 knots. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to
9 feet, subsiding to 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 7 feet.
Nearshore waters extremely rough. Numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms.
.FRIDAY...South to southwest winds near 25 knots, decreasing to
near 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to
8 feet, subsiding to 3 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet.
Nearshore waters extremely rough, becoming rough. Widespread
showers and scattered thunderstorms.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...South to southwest winds 15 to 20 knots,
decreasing to near 15 knots. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5
feet, subsiding to 2 to 3 feet. Nearshore waters choppy, becoming
a moderate chop. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY...South winds near 15 knots, decreasing to near 10
knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 feet, subsiding to 1 to 2
feet. Nearshore waters a moderate chop, becoming a light chop.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around
1 foot. Nearshore waters smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY...Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot.
Nearshore waters smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...East to southeast winds near
10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Nearshore waters a light chop.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT...East to southeast winds 5 to 10
knots. Seas around 1 foot. Nearshore waters smooth to a light
chop. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.

$$

GMZ043-044-270415-
Hawk Channel from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile Bridge out
to the reef-
Hawk Channel from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to Halfmoon Shoal
out to the reef-
605 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

.TONIGHT...Tropical storm conditions expected. South winds 25 to
35 knots with gusts up to 40 knots, becoming south to southwest
and decreasing to near 25 knots. Seas 7 to 10 feet, occasionally
to 13 feet. West of Cosgrove Shoal Light, seas 9 to 12 feet,
occasionally to 15 feet, subsiding to 7 to 9 feet, occasionally to
11 feet. Nearshore waters extremely rough. Numerous showers and
scattered thunderstorms.
.FRIDAY...South to southwest winds 20 to 25 knots, decreasing to
near 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to
8 feet, subsiding to 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 7 feet. West of
Cosgrove Shoal Light, seas 5 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet,
subsiding to 4 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Nearshore waters
very rough, becoming rough. Widespread showers and scattered
thunderstorms.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...South to southwest winds near 15 knots, becoming
south. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Nearshore waters
a moderate chop. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY...South winds near 15 knots, decreasing to near 10
knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet,
subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Nearshore waters a moderate chop,
becoming a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to
2 feet. Nearshore waters smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY...East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to
2 feet. Nearshore waters smooth to a light chop. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...East winds near 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet.
Nearshore waters a light chop. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms.
.MONDAY...East to southeast winds near 10 knots. Seas around 2
feet. Nearshore waters a light chop. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms.
.MONDAY NIGHT...East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet.
Nearshore waters a light to moderate chop. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY...East winds near 10 knots, decreasing to 5 to 10 knots.
Seas 1 to 2 feet. Nearshore waters a light chop, becoming smooth
to a light chop. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around 1 foot.
Nearshore waters smooth to a light chop. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms.

$$

GMZ052-053-072-073-270415-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Ocean Reef to Craig Key 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Craig Key to west end of Seven Mile
Bridge 20 to 60 NM out-
605 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

.TONIGHT...Tropical storm conditions expected. South winds 25 to
35 knots with gusts up to 40 knots, decreasing to 20 to 25 knots
after midnight. Seas 9 to 11 feet, occasionally to 14 feet,
subsiding to 7 to 10 feet, occasionally to 13 feet. Wave Detail:
Southeast to south 8 feet at 7 seconds and southwest 8 feet at 11
seconds. Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
.FRIDAY...South to southwest winds near 25 knots, decreasing to
near 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to
9 feet, subsiding to 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 7 feet. Wave
Detail: South 5 feet at 6 seconds and southwest to west 5 feet at
9 seconds. Widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...South winds 15 to 20 knots, decreasing to near 15
knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet, subsiding to 3
to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave Detail: Southeast to south
3 feet at 5 seconds and southwest to west 3 feet at 8 seconds.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY...South winds 10 to 15 knots, becoming southeast to
south and decreasing to 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas
around 3 feet, subsiding to around 2 feet. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas
1 to 2 feet. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY...East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to
2 feet. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...East winds near 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15
knots. Seas around 2 feet, building to 2 to 3 feet. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.MONDAY...East to southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3
feet. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.MONDAY NIGHT...East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY...East to southeast winds near 10 knots, decreasing to 5
to 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet, subsiding to 1 to 2 feet.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas
1 to 2 feet. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.

$$

GMZ054-055-074-075-270415-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas out 20 NM-
Straits of Florida from west end of Seven Mile Bridge to south of
Halfmoon Shoal 20 to 60 NM out-
Straits of Florida from Halfmoon Shoal to 20 NM west of Dry
Tortugas 20 to 60 NM out-
605 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

.TONIGHT...Tropical storm conditions expected. South to southwest
winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 40 knots, decreasing to 20
to 25 knots after midnight. Seas 9 to 12 feet, occasionally to 15
feet, subsiding to 6 to 9 feet, occasionally to 11 feet. Wave
Detail: Southwest 10 feet at 10 seconds and southeast to south 8
feet at 7 seconds. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms.
.FRIDAY...South to southwest winds 20 to 25 knots, decreasing to
near 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 7 feet, occasionally to
9 feet, subsiding to 4 to 6 feet, occasionally to 7 feet. Wave
Detail: West 6 feet at 9 seconds and south 4 feet at 6 seconds.
Widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...South to southwest winds 15 to 20 knots, becoming
south and decreasing to near 15 knots. Seas 4 to 5 feet,
occasionally to 6 feet, subsiding to 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to
5 feet. Wave Detail West to northwest 4 feet at 8 seconds and
south 3 feet at 5 seconds. Numerous showers and scattered
thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY...South winds near 15 knots, becoming southeast to
south and decreasing to near 10 knots in the afternoon. Seas 2 to
4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet, subsiding to 2 to 3 feet.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas
around 2 feet. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY...East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas around
2 feet. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...East winds near 10 knots, increasing to 10 to 15
knots. Seas around 2 feet, building to 2 to 3 feet. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.MONDAY...East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.MONDAY NIGHT...East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY...East winds 10 to 15 knots, decreasing to near 10 knots.
Seas 2 to 3 feet, subsiding to around 2 feet. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...East winds near 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.

$$

GMZ034-270415-
Gulf of Mexico including Dry Tortugas and Rebecca Shoal Channel-
605 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

.TONIGHT...Tropical storm conditions expected. South to southwest
winds 25 to 35 knots with gusts up to 40 knots, becoming
southwest and decreasing to near 25 knots after midnight. Seas 10
to 14 feet, occasionally to 18 feet, subsiding to 8 to 10 feet,
occasionally to 13 feet. Wave Detail: South to southwest 14 feet
at 10 seconds. Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms.
.FRIDAY...Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots, decreasing to 15 to 20
knots. Seas 6 to 8 feet, occasionally to 10 feet, subsiding to 5
to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Wave Detail:
Southwest to west 7 feet at 8 seconds and south 4 feet at 7
seconds. Widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...South to southwest winds near 15 knots, becoming
south. Seas 4 to 5 feet, occasionally to 6 feet. Wave Detail:
West to northwest 5 feet at 8 seconds and southeast to south 3
feet at 6 seconds. Widespread showers and scattered thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY...South to southwest winds near 15 knots, decreasing to
near 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet,
subsiding to 2 to 3 feet. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southeast to south winds 5 to 10 knots,
increasing to near 10 knots after midnight. Seas 1 to 3 feet.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY...Southeast winds near 10 knots, decreasing to 5 to 10
knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet, subsiding to 1 to 2 feet. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...East winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing to near 10
knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet, building to around 2 feet. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.MONDAY...East to southeast winds near 10 knots. Seas around
2 feet. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.MONDAY NIGHT...East winds 10 to 15 knots. Seas 2 to 3 feet.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY...East winds 10 to 15 knots, decreasing to near 10 knots.
Seas 2 to 3 feet, subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...East winds near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 3 feet.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.

$$

GMZ033-270415-
Gulf waters from East Cape Sable to Chokoloskee 20 to 60 NM out
and beyond 5 fathoms-
605 PM EDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN EFFECT...

.TONIGHT...Tropical storm conditions expected. South winds 25 to
35 knots with gusts up to 45 knots, decreasing to near 25 knots
with gusts up to 35 knots after midnight. Seas 9 to 13 feet,
occasionally to 17 feet, subsiding to 8 to 11 feet, occasionally
to 14 feet. Wave Detail: South to southwest 13 feet at 10 seconds.
Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms.
.FRIDAY...South to southwest winds 20 to 25 knots, decreasing to
15 to 20 knots in the afternoon. Seas 5 to 8 feet, occasionally to
10 feet, subsiding to 5 to 6 feet, occasionally to 8 feet. Wave
Detail: Southwest 8 feet at 8 seconds. Widespread showers and
scattered thunderstorms.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...South to southwest winds near 15 knots. Seas
around 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet. Wave Detail: West to
northwest 4 feet at 8 seconds and south 3 feet at 5 seconds.
Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY...South to southwest winds near 15 knots, decreasing to
near 10 knots. Seas 3 to 4 feet, occasionally to 5 feet,
subsiding to 2 to 3 feet. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Southeast to south winds 5 to 10 knots,
increasing to near 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY...Southeast winds near 10 knots, decreasing to 5 to 10
knots. Seas around 2 feet, subsiding to 1 to 2 feet. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots, increasing
to near 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms.
.MONDAY...East to southeast winds near 10 knots. Seas around 2
feet. Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
.MONDAY NIGHT...East winds near 10 knots. Seas around 2 feet.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY...East to southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...East winds 5 to 10 knots. Seas 1 to 2 feet.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.

$$

MJV