444
FXUS63 KLBF 272057
AFDLBF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
357 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

*Thunderstorm chances return by mid-week, with chances through the
end of the week

*Gusty winds on Wednesday

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 355 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024

High pressure builds in from the west bringing warmer
temperatures with highs in the upper 70s to low 80s for Tuesday and
Wednesday. A short wave trof advances east late Wednesday, moving
into the High Plains. Forecast soundings show good mixing up to the
800 mb and with winds just above the sfc around 30 kts mixing to the
sfc winds around 15 to 25 mph with gust up to 35 mph. Showers and
thunderstorms will develop Wednesday afternoon and evening. Moisture
will increase to the area ahead of the shortwave and will provide
enough moisture where there is the potential for HP type
thunderstorms, could see locally heavy amounts of rainfall. Low
level shear will be marginal in the afternoon but increase towards
the evening hours, with MU CAPE values around 1500 to 2000 J/kg.
There will be a chance for strong to severe thunderstorms, with the
greatest threat in the late afternoon and evening hours on
Wednesday.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 355 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024

A front moves through on Thursday bringing cooler
temperatures with highs in the low 70s Friday, but the cool down
will be brief with temperatures returning to the 80s by Sunday.
Ahead of the front on Thursday, another chance for showers and
thunderstorms Thursday, some of which may be strong and could also
produce locally heavy rainfall. At this time CAPE values there will
be a narrow band of CAPE values over 2000 J/kg, with the greatest
risk at the moment generally along and east of HWY 83, but will need
to continue to monitor future forecast.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/...
Issued at 1257 PM CDT Mon May 27 2024

Quiet aviation conditions are expected over the next day across the
region. The only concern will be across northern Nebraska where
stronger northwest winds gusting up to 30 knots are possible through
this afternoon. Winds diminish by mid-evening giving way to winds
under 10 knots.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Gomez
LONG TERM...Gomez
AVIATION...Kulik