730
FXUS65 KLKN 192111
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
211 PM PDT Sun May 19 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Cooler temperatures expected through much of next week
along with breezy afternoon winds. A trough of low pressure will
bring scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the
eastern half of NV Monday afternoon and evening.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Monday night

An upper-level disturbance combined with weak instability will
bring a 15-25% chance of light rain showers later this afternoon
and evening across portions of eastern Nevada. Quiet and dry
conditions for the rest of the CWA tonight with lows in the 30s
and 40s and light winds.

A trough of low pressure is expected to move southward Monday and
affect mainly the eastern half of the forecast area. Increased
instability will lead to a 25-50% chance of light rain showers,
and a 10-20% chance of isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon and
early evening hours. Winds will be breezy out of the northwest
in the afternoon with gusts to 20-30 mph possible.

High temperatures will be cooler than normal with readings in the
upper 50s and lower 60s. Overnight lows will dip into the 30s
with some of the colder locales in central NV in the mid 20s under
mostly clear skies and light winds.

&&

.LONG TERM...Tuesday through next Saturday.

A departing upper level low pressure system will leave a
northwest flow in its wake for Tuesday. Skies will be mainly sunny
with breezy northwest winds to 20 mph. Highs will be below normal
with readings in the 60s to near 70. Mostly clear and quiet
conditions for the overnight with lows in the 30s and 40s.

Look for another low pressure system to move southward Wednesday
and affect mainly the northern half of the forecast area through
Friday. This will lead to light isolated to scattered rain showers
and isolated thunderstorms possible mainly across northern Elko
County. Highs will generally be in the 60s to 70s with lows in the
30s and 40s. Afternoon breezy conditions will develop with speeds
of 10 to 20 mph and gusts to 30 mph. Dry conditions return next
weekend under a westerly flow aloft.

&&

.AVIATION...Look for VFR conditions through the next 24 hours at
all TAF sites. -SHRA is expected to develop mainly across the
eastern terminals of KEKO and KELY. Winds W-NW10-20G30KT expected
after 18Z Monday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Quite and dry conditions overnight as isolated
rain showers taper off over eastern Nevada. Increasing clouds
Monday as a low pressure system approaches the region, bringing
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across eastern NV in
the afternoon and evening. Cooler temperatures expected along
with increasing winds out of the northwest in the afternoon and
evening.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...Runoff from snow melting from the remaining high
mountain snowpack will continue through the week, which will
result in elevated, and at times, increasing flows on streams and
creeks coming off snow covered higher terrain.

The Owyhee River at Mountain City, Wildhorse Reservoir, Lamoille
Creek, and the Jarbidge River near Jarbidge are all currently at
or near action stage, and are expected to remain elevated over the
coming days.

&&

.LKN Watches/Warnings/Advisories...

None.

&&

$$

90/86/86/90