Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX
438
FNUS54 KMAF 221933
FWFMAF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for West Texas/Southeast New Mexico
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
233 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ THURSDAY FOR THE HIGHER TERRAIN AND ADJACENT PLAINS
OF WEST TEXAS AND SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO FOR RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
AS LOW AS 2 PERCENT, 20 FT WINDS GREATER THAN 20 MPH AND EXTREME
FIRE DANGER...
.DISCUSSION...
Elevated fire weather conditions continue this afternoon across
the higher terrain of SE NM/W TX where intermittently gusty winds
are expected to produce near critical/localized critical conditions
prior to sunset. Fire weather concerns increase Thursday as very dry
air expands across the region with widespread RH under 5 percent and
temperatures 5-10 degrees above normal. Stronger winds in the mountains
will yield periods of critical fire weather conditions there and across
the adjacent plains, thus a Red Flag Warning is in effect for the
Sacramento Foothills, Guadalupe Mtns, and adjacent areas of SE NM/W TX
Thursday afternoon. ERCs west of the Pecos are forecast to exceed the
97th percentile, lending to increased concerns, though to the east of
the Warning, greenup and lighter winds largely mitigate more substantial
fire weather concerns. Elevated conditions are possible again on Friday,
with another round of critical fire weather conditions Saturday as winds
increase across the mountains once again. Aside from storms to the east
today, the forecast through the holiday remains dry and hot.
&&
For point-specific forecasts please see the Point Fire Weather
Matrix product issued by the Midland/Odessa National Weather
Service Office.
NMZ116-230930-
Sacramento Foothills and Guadalupe Mountains-
133 PM MDT Wed May 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY...
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 53 (-3) 88 (+6) 53 88
RH % (24h trend) 18 (-19) 3 (-4) 16 4
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 12 W 10 W 16 W 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 9 W 18 W 11 SW 10
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 37 31 42 21
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 9950 10470
Transport Wnd (kts) W 28 W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 278600 230340
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 3 5 4 3
RFTI Category Near Crit Critical Near Crit Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. East
winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
$$
NMZ117-230930-
Chaves Plains-
133 PM MDT Wed May 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY...
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 54 (-3) 95 (+10) 55 93
RH % (24h trend) 55 (+3) 3 (-10) 18 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 9 W 7 SW 14 NW 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 8 W 14 W 9 SW 8
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 36 21 38 21
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 12420 10290
Transport Wnd (kts) W 22 NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 273240 174930
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 1 5 5 1
RFTI Category Elevated Critical Critical Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ118-230930-
Eddy Plains-
133 PM MDT Wed May 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM TO 8 PM MDT THURSDAY...
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 57 (-5) 96 (+7) 58 94
RH % (24h trend) 45 (+13) 3 (-5) 14 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) SW 10 SW 8 W 15 NW 6
Wind 20ft/late(mph) S 7 W 18 W 8 W 8
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 32 28 38 23
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11110 10940
Transport Wnd (kts) W 26 W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 288860 185980
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 6 6 1
RFTI Category Elevated Critical Critical Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
$$
NMZ119-230930-
Lea-
133 PM MDT Wed May 22 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-5) 94 (+9) 57 92
RH % (24h trend) 83 (+38) 3 (-10) 15 5
Wind 20ft/early(mph) S 9 SW 9 W 15 NW 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 7 W 16 W 8 W 9
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 5 5
Wind 10000 FT MSL 29 23 39 23
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11780 10080
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 26 NW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 306280 181440
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 5 5 1
RFTI Category Nil Critical Critical Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs around 90. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ270-271-230930-
Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-
Guadalupe and Delaware Mountains-
Including the cities of Guadalupe Mountains National Park and
Pine Springs
233 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024 /133 PM MDT Wed May 22 2024/
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON CDT /11 AM MDT/ TO 9 PM
CDT /8 PM MDT/ THURSDAY...
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 56 (-6) 87 (+4) 54 87
RH % (24h trend) 12 (-8) 3 (-2) 12 4
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 12 W 14 W 17 W 12
Wind 20ft/late(mph) W 10 W 20 W 14 W 14
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 36 31 41 28
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 7880 8370
Transport Wnd (kts) W 32 W 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 252160 167400
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 4 6 6 3
RFTI Category Near Crit Critical Critical Near Crit
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 10 to 20 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum
relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds 15 to
20 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. Northeast
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid 80s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds 10 to
15 mph.
$$
TXZ275>282-230930-
Chinati Mountains-Marfa Plateau-Davis Mountains-
Davis Mountains Foothills-Central Brewster County-Chisos Basin-
Presidio Valley-Lower Brewster County-
Including the cities of Marfa, Fort Davis, Alpine,
Big Bend National Park, Panther Junction, Marathon, Chisos Basin,
Presidio, Lajitas, and Castolon
233 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 57 (-11) 101 (+5) 57 99
RH % (24h trend) 37 (0) 2 (-3) 14 3
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 8 W 7 W 9 W 7
Wind 20ft/late(mph) NW 5 W 12 NW 6 W 9
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 6 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 28 25 32 25
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10810 9980
Transport Wnd (kts) W 25 W 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 270250 189620
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 1 2 2 1
RFTI Category Elevated Elevated Elevated Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds around
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. Northeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ272-273-230930-
Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor-Eastern Culberson County-
Including the city of Van Horn
233 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT THURSDAY...
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Clear Clear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 58 (-7) 94 (+2) 57 94
RH % (24h trend) 14 (-6) 2 (-2) 13 3
Wind 20ft/early(mph) W 9 W 10 W 13 W 9
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SW 7 W 16 W 10 W 10
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 31 31 39 28
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 10010 10180
Transport Wnd (kts) W 28 W 19
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 280280 193420
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 2 5 5 2
RFTI Category Elevated Critical Critical Elevated
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Northeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
$$
TXZ045>048-050>053-059>063-067>070-075-082-274-230930-
Gaines-Dawson-Borden-Scurry-Andrews-Martin-Howard-Mitchell-Loving-
Winkler-Ector-Midland-Glasscock-Ward-Crane-Upton-Reagan-Pecos-
Terrell-Reeves County Plains-
Including the cities of Seminole, Lamesa, Gail, Snyder, Andrews,
Stanton, Big Spring, Colorado City, Mentone, Kermit, Odessa,
Midland, Garden City, Monahans, Crane, McCamey, Rankin, Big Lake,
Fort Stockton, Dryden, Sanderson, and Pecos
233 PM CDT Wed May 22 2024
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Type Tstms None None None
Chance Precip (%) 10 0 0 0
Temp (24h trend) 61 (-8) 101 (+9) 60 99
RH % (24h trend) 100 (+33) 3 (-15) 32 3
Wind 20ft/early(mph) NE 8 S 7 W 10 W 8
Wind 20ft/late(mph) SE 6 W 13 W 6 W 8
LAL 1 1 1 1
Haines Index 6 5 5 4
Wind 10000 FT MSL 23 22 34 22
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl) 11780 10180
Transport Wnd (kts) SW 25 W 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 294500 173060
Vent Category Excellent Excellent
RFTI 0 4 4 0
RFTI Category Nil Near Crit Near Crit Nil
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
upper 90s. Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. West winds
around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s.
Minimum relative humidity at or below 15 percent. North winds
5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum
relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A 20 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 90s.
Minimum relative humidity above 15 percent. East winds around
10 mph.
$$