136
FXUS62 KMLB 261816
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
216 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

...New AVIATION...

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFs)
Issued at 131 PM EDT Sun May 26 2024

VFR conditions through the TAF period. E/SE winds around 8-12 KT
this afternoon as the east coast sea breeze pushes inland.
Greatest potential for showers and lightning storms will be along
and inland from the Treasure Coast. However timing and coverage is
too uncertain to include VC wording at this time. Will monitor and
amend as necessary. Winds will become light and variable overnight
before winds become SW and increase to 5-10 KT by mid-morning
Monday.



&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 952 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024

Primary weather concern for today continues to be heat, as
stacked high pressure and westerly flow pushes afternoon highs
into the M-U90s inland, L-M90s along the I-95 corridor, and
U80s-L90s along the barrier islands. Low humidity and virtually no
instability will limit rain chances to just 20 pct along along
the sea breeze from the Treasure Coast to Okeechobee County in the
afternoon and evening. Potential for lightning storms is still a
stretch at best. HREF probabilities are virtually zero, but NBM is
up to around 25 pct and model soundings near the sea breeze
collision show enough of a favorable environment to support a
slight chance for storms, so went ahead and added lightning. Might
even see a stronger storm with gusty winds if the sea breeze and
favorable conditions come together at the right time.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 256 AM EDT Sun May 26 2024

Today-Tonight...Favorable boating conditions will persist across
the local Atlantic waters today, with seas between 1 to 3 feet.
West-southwest winds around 5 knots this morning will back to out
of the south-southeast at 10 to 15 knots as the east coast sea
breeze develops and moves onshore. Winds will then diminish to 5
to 10 knots out of the west-southwest once again tonight. Mostly
dry conditions are expected across the local waters today, though
some isolated showers cannot fully be ruled out this afternoon
into the overnight hours.

Monday-Thursday...Favorable boating conditions are forecast to
continue through much of this week. Seas will remain between 1 to
3 feet through the period, with light west-southwest winds Monday
and Tuesday becoming south-southeast and north-northwest winds
Wednesday and Thursday becoming easterly as the east coast sea
breeze develops and moves inland. Scattered showers and isolated
storms return to the forecast on Tuesday as a weak boundary
approaches the area and settles across the waters, with continuing
rain and storm chances through Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB  71  94  72  93 /  10  10  10  40
MCO  73  97  74  95 /  10  10  10  40
MLB  73  94  74  93 /  10  10  10  40
VRB  73  96  74  94 /  10  20  20  40
LEE  73  94  75  94 /  10   0  10  40
SFB  73  97  74  96 /  10  10  10  40
ORL  74  97  75  95 /  10  10  10  40
FPR  71  96  72  94 /  10  20  20  40

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

UPDATE...Haley
AVIATION...Watson