542
FNUS72 KMLB 211232
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Sandy Drain WF...Florida Forest Service
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
832 AM EDT Tue May 21 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0900 EDT on May 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Light northwest winds this morning will become
northeast with the sea breeze passage by early to mid afternoon. During
the mid to late afternoon winds will increase from the northeast behind
the sea breeze to near 15 mph. There will be low chance for a shower
or thunderstorm today mainly between 11 am and 3 pm, before the sea
breeze bounday pushes farther inland. Light onshore winds are expected
late this evening and overnight with settling of smoke near the fire.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Chance of showers and
                    a slight chance of thunderstorms in the early to mid
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1100, then 1-8 strikes noon until 3
                    PM.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light northwest winds becoming northeast 5 to 10 mph
                    by mid day, then increasing to 12 to 15 mph in the
                    mid to late afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the early afternoon.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL increasing to 4400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 10 mph shifting to the east 12
                    to 13 mph late in the afternoon.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 28 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 37 late in the morning increasing
                    to 50 early in the afternoon decreasing to 48.
LVORI...............9 decreasing to 2.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  26  28  28  31  37  28  26  21
Weather cov.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........            SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  30  30  30  30  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   2   2   2   2   1   1
Temp............75  79  81  82  82  83  84  84  84
RH..............84  75  72  69  69  67  64  64  63
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   8   9   10  10  13  14  15
20 FT wind gust.10  12  13  15  16  18  18  20  21
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 3.2 3.4 3.7 4.4 4.2 3.9 4.1 4.0
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.8   9   8   10  10  12  12  13  13
Dispersion idx..28  38  35  46  54  47  44  50  51
LVORI...........4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 70.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 10 mph in the early evening
                    becoming northeast 5 mph or less after midnight.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 14 mph.
Dispersion index....53 decreasing to 5 early in the evening.
LVORI...............1 increasing to 6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........11     12     13     13     15     13
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............3      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............83     79     75     73     72     70
RH..............65     74     84     89     90     94
20 ft wind......NE 10  NE 7   NE 5   NE 3   NE 2   NE 2
20 ft wind gust.16     13     9      7      6      6
Mix hgt (ft)....3400   1300   500    400    400    400
Transport wind..E 14   E 13   E 9    E 7    E 7    E 7
Dispersion idx..54     7      4      3      3      3
LVORI...........1      3      5      6      6      6

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 86.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 12 mph.
Dispersion index....5 increasing to 17 late in the morning, then
                    increasing to 30 late in the morning increasing
                    to 46 late in the morning increasing to 57
                    decreasing to 48 late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............8 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........16     12     15     12     13     8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............70     73     80     84     86     85
RH..............96     90     72     61     55     57
20 ft wind......NE 2   NE 2   E 5    NE 8   E 10   E 10
20 ft wind gust.6      7      10     13     16     16
Mix hgt (ft)....400    800    2900   4300   4700   4100
Transport wind..E 7    E 6    E 8    E 9    E 10   E 12
Dispersion idx..3      6      30     49     59     48
LVORI...........8      6      3      1      1      1

$$
Forecaster...Volkmer
Requested by...Anthony Petellat
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2414812.0/MLB
.DELDT 05/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL anthony.petellat@fdacs.gov